Ralph Wiggum

I haven't given up on the Golden ticket yet sir.

We garnish with turds now? Fits the winter I guess.

Ridge is much improved but the southern energy is slower to move out which allows height to pump out ahead.

Why everytime you say this do I picture a gentleman in a tux getting ready to spin the roulette wheel? Well-distingushed gentleman, might I add.

PNA ridge at 198 looks improved

And we know this will probably be closest to verifying. Until we get help out west I dont care how epic the Atlantic side looks during this Nina. I'm holding out hope for a +PNA spike but without it, this one is going to trend toward toast as well.

Same thing if ppl post "omg look how epic the atlantic side h5 looks" over and over. I'm posting how we need more help than that. I will back the foot off the brake pedal posts, fair enough...I hear you.

Last time I will post a rebuttal here regarding the same general thoughts. Look out West. A deep -PNA is NOT going to do it. I don't care if the PV drops under the NAO (which we saw in Dec mind you, and we got the avocado polar overwhelming pattern). Let's jeep an eye on the PNA and hope we can even time a transient spike at the right time. It can happen but I really think this is the only way we score here regardless what a 240 hour surface op shows right now verbatim.

As we have been discussing ad nauseum we can get the most epic Atlantic look you want to see, but if this year has proven anything it is that without a +PNA we are staring down the barrel of the same loaded "close but no cigar" pattern. Now I'm not saying it can't happen, I'm saying that unless we get the right trend out west we aren't going anywhere with this one. Just my $.02

Unless we get a pna spike in addition, I'm cashing out. You can roll all the bones you want bro.

That trof is going to bury itself out west as we have seen all season, no reason that's going to change suddenly. Cutter season continues.

That's counting sleet. My map is more realistic, closer to a foot

Pingers in Warminster. 40F

I thought I remember a post you made about 2 or 3 weeks ago suggesting this March and 2001 were comparable. Thus why I asked. I could be mistaken however.

LFG! Buckle up...time for the patient payout:

We take. See u @ 130pm and HH...

But the WAR. Counters any -NAO.

CMC has the block but still manages to plow a weak low into Erie. Pretty sure we have seen how this story unfolds. December threats with the block still turned into cutters. Skeptical at best for now.

March 2001 vibes, right @psuhoffman??

Nice threat at day, umm,.......10

How about that March 3-5 hit across all 12z guidance? Only 10 days away

Link or it didn't happen Eta: nevermind, found it. Wow, I'm moving out to Cali which is obviously the new snow capital of the US: "The precipitation totals for the majority of the south Santa Barbara coast, Ventura, and Los Angeles coasts/valleys will be in the 2-4 inch category. Low snow levels will mean that this could be the largest amount of 24-48 hour snowfall seen in decades (likely rivaling the 1989 storm) for our Ventura and Los Angeles County mountains. Depending on the snow-line, rainfall in the foothills will be from 4-6 inches, but the mountains above 4000 ft could see upwards of 2-5 FEET of snow with isolated amounts to 7 feet at higher elevations. Snowfall of this rate and amount could lead to damage to structures and trees with an immense threat of avalanches, especially in the eastern San Gabriel Mountains by Saturday."

Triple phaser incoming. But you know as well as I do that the trof will remain buried on the West Coast and the PNA ridge attempting to mozy Eastward will fail.

I'm seeing this too and was pretty serious with my post. Patience folks.