I mean, the ops are close to getting many snow-starved places either on the board or adding a modest amount to seasonal totals. Like you said, not really a bad spot to be at this range.
Like other threats the op and ens begin to converge or move closer towards one another. Same time frame every system this year. Still have plenty of time for things to move a better direction. Storm still there so there's that.
What are we all drinking for HH?
NAO moving into the favored area alot slower this run. That won't help push the boundary S. Hp pulling NE as opposed to seeping S and E last couple runs.
12z gfs that lobe of the pv N of Lake Superior in Canada continues to trend farther W each run. Unsure what implications this will have. Western US trof doesn't seem as deep thru 132
NAO taking its dear old time on the icon and doesn't force the NS wave thru far enough S nor fast enough. 50/50 is there. Alas, that's enough dissecting of this model more than a week out.
So the ICON takes a really good track under us but is warm asf.
Has the trail wave but look like it didn't allow the preceding front enough time/space to dampen the flow enough out ahead, ie, slower NS energy.
Actually I stand corrected on the 12k nam....scaled back the 'big event' for tomorrow. Surface maps looked improved, snowfall maps backed off. Assuming it will be a mood flakes kind of day