Ralph Wiggum

Models are headed the wrong way tho. Look upstairs and 850, not just the surface. This is almost totally rate dependent and we don't do complicated rate dependent very well. A chance, but slim.

The SSWE and potential SPV split look has held....so March could still throw us a fluke.

That's a crazy future's bet. Talk about long range! That's for March 26th. That's not even giving an edge....literally a 50/50 at this range. With that said take the +odds.

I liked every so often ge would stack 3 of the COLD icons. Once in a blue moon you would get 3 of the SNOW icons over us.

Yep, this is legit. But the sports books that host these wagers aren't the most dependable...yet. You won't find this on fanduel or draftkings. There was one site I used to use for hockey that had this but it wasn't as easy as you would think. They would pick cities and do a max high temp or min low temp over/under but it wasn't "Philly's high temp 37 o/u"....you had a spread of say 34-42 and could take o/u for that range. Then if you wanted to wager within said range it would be like -1600 or something asinine.

https://www.usaonlinesportsbooks.com/entertainment/weather-betting.html

The Euro isn't too warm.

Transient flow but we can cash-in. Trackable.

This work?

Seen flakes 4 times over last 10 days. Amazing run we're having.

Flurries and windy in Warminster. 24F

I was being facetious/sarcastic no worries

Snow at my parents' place in N Cape May

Bro, you said no negativity....just keeping with the good vibes. We probably need intervention....big group hug

Where was this in January? Maybe this can increase chances for that big mid March event...

Out beyond the Feb 11-14 window, the GEFS gives renewed hope in the LR with an elongated/displaced TPV and flattening of the SER. Also some evidence of lower heights near the 50/50 region. Still have some issues in the PAC but it's not a shit the blinds look and may offer continued chances thru the 3rd week of Feb at the very least. CFS continues that same general idea thru early March:

Pitchers and catchers....10 days!

EPS has another chunk of polar air coming down centered around the 12th with 850s near to BN and a mean h5 disturbance sliding under the region. Not a huge signal but not a horrible one either. Try and put the thread in the eye of the needle enough times and it will eventually happen.

Seasons that begin with significant HL +height anomalies tend to sandwich -height anomalies in the middle. Both PSU and even Chuck have noted this several times. It's one of the main reasons I went with the backloaded idea this year. Most years with the early epic HL blocking recently have failed to produce 'early' more times than not. For whatever reason (sst lag?) this revisited HL +height anomalies have produced in the 2nd half of Feb and March.

On a related note, snowblowers are heavily discounted right now at lowest and home depot as are shovels and ice melt.

I honestly believe our "thread-the-needle" events actually will increase in likelihood as we move thru March, meaning the chances of one of these actually working out or "threading-the-needle" will continue to increase. One of these is going to work out right when we least expect it. It's only Feb 2....plenty of time to go. Dont really necessarily care what happened or didn't happen in Dec or Jan....recent history shows our prime climo is just starting to come into range.

Saw the green comet last night with naked eye. Just a blurry star with greenish hue. Used the Sky Tonight app to locate it. I can only assume it's green for the Eagles!

I put that mecs potential at about 4% chance of happening.....but there's a chance and I'll ride that train til it derails

We do April snows better than Dec anymore.

But the first flakes start at day 9. We got this my brotha.....reel it in!