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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. 700mb track definitely a bit more favorable. Keeps the dry slot shunted farther SE.
  2. I mean if we can get that 700 low a bit farther S&E when it stalls out it would be epic for SNE.
  3. the NAM would be unreal for NYC and especially suburbs just N&W with that 700mb low stall.
  4. Yes, though I have definite concerns with dry air advecting south in the boundary layer through W Mass and N CT. The Euro keeps pretty high sfc dew point depressions through the event.
  5. NAM and GFS. Euro as well for a period of time Tuesday night..., though it looks better by 12z Wednesday.
  6. EPS QPF probabilities are pretty impressive for the Mon/Tue event. Anyone have any thoughts on timing? Likely to be slower or faster than currently progged?
  7. The snow growth zone dries out pretty quickly Tuesday night. Something to keep an eye on - may wind up with some sleet or even freezing rain Wednesday AM south of the Pike.
  8. That shortwave goes through the meat grinder though. Blah.
  9. I saw a slushy inch in Norfolk at 1200ft which is exactly what this met forecast.
  10. Definitely looks like a few opportunities if we can catch a break. 1/21-1/22 looks pretty good on the EPS.
  11. At least we have pretty red colors in the NAO region next week.
  12. I'm excited that John will be at a higher elevation that you. He's got an awesome location up there on the mountain!
  13. I'm pretty sure they have a lot of crews staging since they are required by law to do it once they declare the level 4.
  14. I'm pretty sure after Isaias they're being as proactive as possible.
  15. Yeah - I remember a few events like this with pack and a ripping LLJ. This pack is going to be nuked pretty quickly.
  16. 3km NAM has some epic upslope precip for the Poconos and Catskills. Have to worry about some flash flooding there especially with snow melt.
  17. I was actually just thinking about that storm a few minutes ago. The strongest pressure gradient was pretty localized in that storm so it was really SW CT, Long Island, and NYC metro that got hit hard.
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