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CT Rain

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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    The NAM is very close to something fun for interior areas on Monday.
  2. CT Rain
    You are such a baby. Right now you're under like 5 dbz radar returns. Has your visibility dropped below 4 mile?
  3. CT Rain
    lol yeah the high res models all had that band tickling the coast. No surprise here.
  4. CT Rain
    You may get some sleet in a bit actually. Radar shows a pretty good surge north in the melting layer through N NJ and SE NY.
  5. CT Rain
    Kevin finally gets his 48 hour snow event on the GFS
  6. CT Rain
    Am I the only meteorologist who has never once pulled up the ICON?
  7. CT Rain
    Both. I mean just sort of weak and strung out.
  8. CT Rain
    HRRR is a dumpster fire. Time to move on to Morch.
  9. CT Rain
    Ummm
  10. CT Rain
    There are a few big ensemble members in there. Worth watching.
  11. CT Rain
  12. CT Rain
    It was closer to an inch and they were hit hard.
  13. CT Rain
    For sure. We've had a couple decent events in CT over the last few years where we've been able to fine tune the impacts with certain flat ice amounts thanks to the ASOS I group. Once you get to 0.5" you start seeing some limbs snap and outages and over 0.75" it starts to get more significant.
  14. CT Rain
    Yup for sure. I mean I guess it could always bump up but a quick thump probably doesn't get it done. Also the NWS is now forecasting straight "flat ice" accretion. No more radial. So 0.5" of flat ice accretion is the new warning threshold but you won't start seeing major impacts until at least 0.75" and probably more like 1.0" Radial ice = flat ice * 0.4
  15. CT Rain
    We're sort of QPF limited for a big ice storm here. 0.5"-1.0" of all ZR will cause some issues but definitely short of what you need for the ice storm that Kevin dreams about.
  16. CT Rain
    Low 50s for Groton!
  17. CT Rain
    Super cold airmass too.
  18. CT Rain
    2.0" at BDL. Bust here in CT.
  19. CT Rain
    Bust here. 1-3 N CT and little if anything to the south. Meh. Onto the next one.
  20. CT Rain
    HRRR is really paltry for the rest of today.
  21. CT Rain
    GFS is a decent ice storm for Sunday
  22. CT Rain
    Just was looking at that. Certainly a different kind of look than the NAM.
  23. CT Rain
    Will have to watch for a sneaky fluff bomb Thursday and Friday... very deep DGZ. Wouldn't take much to squeeze out an inch or two with minimal QPF.
  24. CT Rain
    Right for the wrong reason lol
  25. CT Rain
    The funny thing was is that the QPF forecasts weren't that bad - and the hires models way too high. I had 0.36" liquid here (5.2" of snow) which was pretty close to the mean on the GEFS/EPS/Euro/GFS and about 50% of the NAM. I wonder if that fronto band really went to town so far to the NW because it really maximized the snow growth zone and you had really efficient dendrite production. It's not like the band put down a ton of liquid - but it managed 15 or 20:1 ratios with efficient flake production.
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