yoda

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Memphis TN 1148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 TNC053-079-131-183-091830- /O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0076.000000T0000Z-231209T1830Z/ Weakley TN-Gibson TN-Obion TN-Henry TN- 1148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CST FOR WEAKLEY...NORTHEASTERN GIBSON...SOUTHEASTERN OBION AND WESTERN HENRY COUNTIES... At 1148 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Sharon, or 8 miles south of Martin, moving northeast at 50 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Martin, Paris, McKenzie, Dresden, Dyer, Greenfield, Gleason, Kenton, Rutherford, Bradford, Sharon, Cottage Grove, Routon, Palmersville, Puryear, Henry, Sandhill, Jones Mill, Good Luck, and Crossland. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3626 8816 3602 8898 3624 8908 3650 8844 3650 8838 TIME...MOT...LOC 1748Z 245DEG 45KT 3621 8884 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

Tornado Watch up

So you're saying there's a chance

Are you absconding with it?

I work Sunday night into Monday morning... 9pm to 630am at Amazon. I guess I could take a break... to check on the weather outside... for the um, safety of my coworkers... yeah, that's it... cause we all have to drive home...

12z 3km NAM has that 50 mile wide 4-6 inch band from N to S again just west of i95 like it had at 00z FWIW

06z NAM is slower with the cold air compared to the 00z NAM... though also slower with the system? 00z NAM at 12z MON had very little precip... 06z NAM says its snowing Still ends up pretty nice across the region with a lot of 2-4 looking at Kuchera... i81 corridor again crushed 06z 3k NAM OTH... um, came up empty lets say across the region with literally zero snow outside the mountains... and even there its basically <1"

So the 00z EURO tonight decides not to follow the 00z GFS and 00z CMC Day 8-9 storm idea... but come up with a Day 9 into Day 10 big storm where h5 and the SLP join up in E NC

Wait, so you're saying that I have to get a signed document from the 00z 3km NAM to make it finally happen?

What is that 50 mile wide swath of 4 to 8 inches just west of i95 on the 3km NAM? Shows up on Kuchera and 10:1 PW maps

3km is even more loltastic

PW snow map is lol 10:1 map has 2-4 along i95... Kuchera 1-3

Heavy snow into i95 corridor at 57

18z GFS declines the 12z Euro idea

62 and ripping rain at 00z Monday lol per 18z GFS near DCA

Will describes it best lol

12z EPS at distance looked better than yesterday FWIW

Fronto me captain!

00z Euro has some mixed precipitation Tuesday night... very light... but could see some snow showers

144 on 12z Euro has 1013mb SLP along the VA/NC border

Well we did use to get snow on Dec 5... Remember remember the 5th of December...

BWI: 23.8" DCA: 20.2" IAD: 25.1" RIC: 14.9" Tiebreaker SBY: 7.7"

06z GFS has a big storm in distance (Dec 12)... wasn't too far off from being good for us

Morning AFD from LWX sounds good re Sunday on for some snow .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Showers seem likely Sunday-Sunday evening as heights fall across the region ahead of a negatively-tilted s/w trough moving across the OH River Valley and the northern mid-Atlantic and sfc low pressure develops overhead. Colder air begins to filter in Sunday night as NW flow strengthens as low pressure deepens offshore. Snow showers late Sunday night into Monday may accumulate several inches of snow across the higher terrain before shortwave ridging builds in briefly on Tuesday. A second shortwave trough diving from the Central Plains into the OH River Valley Tue into Wed will reinforce the trough pattern across the East bringing temperatures back to slightly cooler than normal and a second and more significant round of snow showers/squalls across the Appalachian region Wednesday. This could also bring the first measurable snow, albeit light to locations east of the mountains. Conditions should begin to improve Wed night and the second half of next week as trough axis shifts east. &&