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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. yoda
    McCarthy from Michigan it is for you guys
  2. yoda
    @Kmlwx Afternoon disco from LWX highlights it already A true tease to Summer arrives Sunday-Tuesday of next week as strong upper level ridging off builds over the mId-Atlantic region. With strong surface high pressure off the NC coast an ample supply of warm air advection will surge our way boosting temperatures into the upper 70s and low 80s Sunday and potentially pushing toward 90 degrees in some locations early next week. These temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal for late April standards. Overnight lows will fall into the 50s and 60s. The ridge begins to buckle Tuesday as a strong cold front approaches from the Ohio River Valley. The front will bring renewed chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms across the region. With that said, severe weather could become a possibility given the well above normal temperatures and modest dynamics Tuesday afternoon and evening as the front passes. CIPS analogues and the CSU Learning Machine probabilities continue to highlight this potential 7 days out especially in areas east of I-81. We`ll continue to monitor this threat and see how it evolves over the coming days ahead.
  3. yoda
    Looks like Tuesday maybe our next chance for a few strong to severe storms
  4. yoda
    Orioles have called up Kjerstad https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/04/orioles-promote-heston-kjerstad-top-prospect.html
  5. yoda
    Mid 80s next Monday gets the hot designation in the zones? Because of near record high potential?
  6. yoda
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heatrisk/
  7. yoda
    Interesting
  8. yoda
    Looks like everyone but Calvert and St. Mary's gets at least a frost advisory for tonight
  9. yoda
  10. yoda
    SPC 1300z OTLK is MRGL for most of LWX CWA for 5% wind Across the eastern Mid-Atlantic (northern VA/MD/DC/DE/south-central PA), a well-mixed boundary layer and steep low-level lapse rates forecast by some guidance may support occasional strong to damaging winds with convection spreading eastward off the higher terrain of the Appalachians and Blue Ridge Mountains. With limited instability, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain isolated.
  11. yoda
  12. yoda
    Big Flyers fan unfortunately tomorrow
  13. yoda
    The Germantown storms were too far SW?
  14. yoda
    Welp, looks like I got a rock today
  15. yoda
    I think we easily verified the watch box today
  16. yoda
    Rotation also on that storm
  17. yoda
    Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 322 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0315 PM Hail 1 E Falls Church 38.89N 77.16W 04/15/2024 M1.25 inch Arlington VA NWS Employee NWS Employee reported half dollar sized hail. && Event Number LWX2403045
  18. yoda
    Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 326 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0321 PM Hail Falls Church 38.89N 77.18W 04/15/2024 M1.00 inch City of Falls Chur VA Trained Spotter A trained spotter reported 1 inch hail near the 400 block of W Broad St in Falls Church. && Event Number LWX2403047 Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 325 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0318 PM Hail Vienna 38.90N 77.25W 04/15/2024 M1.00 inch Fairfax VA Amateur Radio && Event Number LWX2403046
  19. yoda
    @MN Transplant guess this was just north of you? Emergency management and NWS employees report half dollar size hail in Falls Church per LSR
  20. yoda
    Don't see this either everyday in our region - 3pm mid-level lapse rates
  21. yoda
    Warrenton cell just went severe
  22. yoda
    Looks like the Fairfax cell is dragging an outflow boundary behind it/to its west on Radarscope?
  23. yoda
    Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will drop southward through the area tonight, before returning northward as a warm front on Wednesday. A strong cold front will move through this weekend, with high pressure building in early next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Severe Thunderstorrm Watch #109 is valid until 10 PM since it covers most of VA to the NC border, although storms are likely to exit our forecast around 7 PM. Very steep mid-level lapse rates of around 8C/km due to 500 mb temps of around -20C were observed on earlier upper air data and more recent MetOp-C NUCAPS data. This will contribute to a very favorable environment for large hail perhaps approaching significant hail up to 2 inches in diameter. Storms will be fast movers moving around 35 knots and given large dewpoint depressions and strond mid-level flow may be also capable of producing strong to damaging winds. Storms should exit our CWA by 8 PM, likely a little sooner than that. Rapidly clearing skies are expected later this evening behind exiting cold front. High pressure builds over the area overnight into Tue morning with quiet conditions overnight through Tue morning.
  24. yoda
    Coming for @MN Transplant BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 259 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The southwestern District of Columbia... Arlington County in northern Virginia... The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia... Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Alexandria in northern Virginia... * Until 345 PM EDT. * At 258 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Reston, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Some hail damage to agriculture is expected. * Locations impacted include... Arlington, Alexandria, Reston, Annandale, Vienna, Falls Church, Pimmit Hills, Reagan National Airport, Mclean, Rosslyn, Crystal City, Howard University, Oakton, Lincolnia, Tysons Corner, Wolf Trap, Merrifield, Lake Barcroft, American University, and I66 and I495 Interchange. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  25. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 242 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 VAC059-107-151900- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-240415T1900Z/ Loudoun VA-Fairfax VA- 242 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN AND NORTHWESTERN FAIRFAX COUNTIES... At 242 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Brambleton, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Golf ball size hail reprted by a trained spotter in Hanson Park. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Reston, Herndon, Fairfax, Broadlands, Brambleton, Dulles International Airport, Ashburn, Oakton, Sterling, Wolf Trap, Great Falls, and Arcola. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3898 7726 3886 7731 3887 7733 3897 7758 3902 7756 TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 287DEG 29KT 3897 7750 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH
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