yoda

A nice 1-3 would be nice

Updated SWS Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1024 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019 MDZ004-005-503>506-VAZ052-053-055-056-501-502-505-506-122130- Frederick MD-Carroll-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-Stafford- Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 1024 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019 ...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE BALTIMORE / WASHINGTON METRO AREAS FRIDAY MORNING... There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the Friday morning commute. A period of freezing rain is POSSIBLE (a 30 percent chance in Carroll County increasing to 50 percent in Fauquier and Spotsylvania Counties) Friday morning across the northern and western portions of the Baltimore / Washington metro areas, which would result in an icy accumulation on area roads. If this threat does materialize during the Friday morning rush- hour, many roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive delays. If commuting Friday morning, be aware of the POSSIBILITY of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra travel time, and consider using public transportation and telework options. Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.

For those that use Baltimore Inner Harbor (KDMH ASOS)... obs will continue until at least 2/1/2020... Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 857 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019 ...SUSPENSION OF OBSERVATIONS DELAYED AT NWS AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVATION SYSTEM AT BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR MD... The NWS has been notified that the start of construction affecting the grounds around the NWS Automated Surface Observation System (ASOS) Baltimore Inner Harbor Maryland (KDMH) has been delayed. The suspension of observations there is now scheduled to begin on February 1, 2020 at the earliest. We will provide the exact date for the temporary removal of our equipment after more a specific timeline is provided by the construction company. Observations will continue until that date. If you have any questions regarding this matter, please contact: Chris Strong Warning Coordination Meteorologist NWS Baltimore/Washington [email protected]

FWIW, 00Z EURO still likes Monday afternoon into Monday night... 2 to 3 inches of snow

Rendon off to the Angels... 7 years and $245 million

Damn that sucks... you had to drive all the way back home to get your tools and then drive back to work? Must have been great to tell your boss/co-worker or client that you were so excited for the snow that you had no tools

Next 10 mins or so

So that means the slow north trend is about to begin then

Understood. So we would like something like the 00z Euro run from last night but with a little less stream interaction for example?

Quick stupid question... would the ICON be what we want with the strength of the s/w? Or do we want a stronger s/w that threads the needle?

Before the Monday system... total snowfall for the area predicted by 00z Euro by 12z Monday Total snowfall by 06z TUES... by this time most everyone has changed to rain or is in the process of N and W of the metros... no real additional accumulations are shown after this image for the LWX CWA

00z Euro has a quick thump late Monday before changing to rain on Tuesday morning

04z HRRR has two bands of snow move through DC metro... one around 08z and then the second and final one at 11z

If that HP in the Northern Plains can move in tandem with the SLP in LA at 240 on the 00z GFS... And a southern slider... with rain. Interesting...

00z GFS wants no part of what the ICON shows and blows up a huge cutter for middle of next week - but it does bring in some nice arctic air in the process as it moves into Canada

We pray

Updated SWS for the DC metro and i95 weenies Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 201 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016-504-506-508-VAZ052>055-110100- District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Aberdeen, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and Falmouth 201 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019 ...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE BALTIMORE MD/ WASHINGTON DC METRO AREAS WEDNESDAY MORNING... There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the Wednesday morning commute. A period of accumulating snow is POSSIBLE Wednesday morning across the Baltimore MD/Washington DC metro areas, with up to an inch of snow accumulation possible on area roads, with the highest chances north and west of Interstate 95. If this threat does materialize during the Wednesday morning rush-hour, many roads could quickly turn slippery and visibility may be reduced. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive delays. If commuting Wednesday morning, be aware of the POSSIBILITY of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra travel time, and consider using public transportation and telework options. Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode. $$ DHOF/CJL

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 228 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019 MDZ004>006-503-505-507-VAZ505-506-110330- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0031.191211T0700Z-191211T1300Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun- 228 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 2 inches are expected, with isolated totals of 3 inches possible for elevations above 1000 feet. * WHERE...Portions of north-central Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain showers are expected to mix with and change to snow after midnight. While most accumulations will be confined to elevated surfaces, brief and localized heavier periods of snow could result in accumulation even on paved surfaces. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. &&

At least its not sitting out at the 10 day mark like it did all of last winter... we've got in the Day 7 or so range now lol

We lose 850s (besides N and W of the metros) at 168 looks like

As long as they don't issue a pyroclastic flow watch

I was more pointing out that driving around here when its snowing is a nightmare... with or without a WWA. People still speed or drive super slow and its like OMG SNOWERZ and all of a sudden people can't drive correctly

What will probably happen is that WWA's will be issued for the i81 corridor to the BR in the afternoon package... and then WWA for the metro's in the late evening package or early morning package

A few years ago, it was snowing. A dusting was expected. Accidents occurred and there were 30 mile backups on the beltway. For a DUSTING. Snow always causes problems here even if it doesn't accumulate on the main roads

I edited my post right after that... wrong name of the SLP Transfers pretty much over top of us though