yoda

Well.. they are being issued per spotters... but interesting warnings... @high risk BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1026 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Washington County in north central Maryland... East central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northwestern Frederick County in north central Maryland... North central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 1100 PM EST. * At 1026 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Claylick to 11 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 75 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency management. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Hagerstown, Winchester, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Romney, Shepherdstown, Hancock, Paw Paw, Municipal Stadium, Robinwood, Brunswick, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, Ranson, Berryville, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Inwood and Paramount-Long Meadow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Cold front?

yay -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0146.html Mesoscale Discussion 0146 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0327 PM CST Tue Mar 03 2020 Areas affected...much of Pennsylvania...Maryland...West Virginia...and western through northern Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 032127Z - 032330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Relatively shallow convection continues to migrate eastward into the discussion area and will continue to pose a threat of isolated damaging wind gusts and small hail. A WW issuance is not anticipated for this activity. DISCUSSION...Relatively shallow convection continues within an axis of weak instability extending from near FKL to EKN to BKW. Ahead of this axis, insolation has allowed for temperatures to rise into the low 60s amidst mid/upper 40s F dewpoints. Cooling associated with advancement of a mid-level wave across the region has contributed to the destabilization and will likely allow for this axis of instability to spread eastward in tandem with convection across the discussion area over the next couple hours or so. A mix of cellular and linear convection should continue, which will allow for occasional updraft rotation given strong shear and fast flow aloft. Any wind/hail threat should be mostly diurnally driven and wane after dark with the onset of nocturnal boundary layer cooling. Furthermore, the weak instability is limiting the overall magnitude of the severe threat, precluding a WW issuance. ..Cook/Hart.. 03/03/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

Decent storms in C WV.... guess we shall see what makes it into W VA in the next few hours

Really clearing out here now... I can see a lot of blue sky ETA: @George BM beat me to the punch with the sat pic

Well he's following the Eskimo Joe school... so you can see where he gets it from

No... 5% TOR

Sun coming out here

19 confirmed dead now -- https://www.yahoo.com/gma/tornado-directly-hits-nashville-extensive-damage-reported-082805483--abc-news-topstories.html

I'm sorry for your loss. I will keep your family in my prayers

1300 SPC OTLK still 2% TOR/5% WIND... but disco has picked up a bit compared to the 0600 one

8 confirmed deaths https://news.yahoo.com/national-weather-confirms-tornado-near-074153755.html?.tsrc=bell-brknews

Here we go again... i think... unless this is continuously on the ground... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Nashville TN 117 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Smith County in Middle Tennessee... Southwestern Jackson County in Middle Tennessee... East central Wilson County in Middle Tennessee... * Until 145 AM CST. * At 116 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 7 miles east of Lebanon, moving east at 50 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Carthage and Gordonsville around 135 AM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Granville, South Carthage and Tuckers Crossroads. This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 243 and 264. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation. && LAT...LON 3626 8578 3621 8578 3621 8581 3620 8580 3618 8581 3618 8579 3617 8579 3617 8581 3614 8580 3616 8622 3625 8623 3633 8582 TIME...MOT...LOC 0716Z 265DEG 42KT 3620 8619 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.00IN

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 111 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 TNC189-030730- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200303T0730Z/ Wilson TN- 111 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CST FOR CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY... At 111 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Lebanon, moving east at 50 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Wilson County. This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 237 and 243. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. take immediate tornado precautions. this is an emergency situation. && LAT...LON 3615 8632 3622 8633 3625 8620 3616 8619 TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 265DEG 44KT 3619 8627 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.00IN

MRGL risk for this afternoon and evening... 2% TOR/5% WIND

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 37 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 100 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Arkansas The southern Missouri Bootheel Extreme northern Mississippi Western Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday morning from 100 AM until 500 AM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Broken bands of thunderstorms will continue to develop along a cold front that will move eastward from Arkansas to northern Mississippi and western Tennessee through the early morning hours. The storm environment will favor a mix of supercells and bowing segments capable of producing large hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps an isolated tornado.

New Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued by SPC till 5 AM CST/6 AM EST for W TN/NE AR/N MS

not good BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Nashville TN 1253 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Davidson County in Middle Tennessee... Central Wilson County in Middle Tennessee... * Until 130 AM CST. * At 1253 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Hermitage, or 10 miles east of Nashville, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Belinda City around 100 AM CST. Lebanon around 105 AM CST. This includes the following highways... Interstate 40 between mile markers 218 and 243. Interstate 840 between mile markers 73 and 76. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 1245 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 TNC037-165-189-030700- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200303T0700Z/ Davidson TN-Sumner TN-Wilson TN- 1245 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL DAVIDSON...SOUTH CENTRAL SUMNER AND WEST CENTRAL WILSON COUNTIES... At 1245 AM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Nashville, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...NWS employee confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Lakewood, Hermitage and Old Hickory around 1250 AM CST. Mount Juliet and Rural Hill around 100 AM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Berry Hill and Percy Priest Lake. This includes the following highways... Interstate 40 between mile markers 208 and 225. Interstate 65 between mile markers 81 and 92. Interstate 24 between mile markers 42 and 53. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3612 8682 3626 8679 3631 8652 3610 8651 TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 266DEG 41KT 3618 8672 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.25IN $$ Schaper

Uh... I hope everyone is in shelter reading the SWS

Still a good amount of action going on... 2 TWs currently in effect

00z NAM 3km sim radar looks nice until it falls apart as it approaches i95 corridor

End if its run, but 02z HRRR gets us into the mid 60s at 20z tomorrow with storms developing off to the west in WV