yoda

Mod risk remains at 20z

Tor probs are 90/80

Decent size PDS TOR watch box

PDS TOR watch issued

Afternoon AFD from LWX:

1730 SPC OTLK from day 2 has all of us in 2/5/5... mentions supercells with all hazards possible but conditional threat... here is the disco for our region:

Well that was a wake up call... falling asleep after waiting for the new Day 1 OTLK and loud rumble of thunder just shook the house Guess these are elevated boomers... but some nice lightning strikes outside right now too

30% hatched hail is JUST south of Chicago metro

Severe Thunderstorm Warning ILC013-MOC113-139-183-219-280500- /O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0023.200328T0420Z-200328T0500Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service St Louis MO 1120 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020 The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... South central Calhoun County in southwestern Illinois... Northwestern St. Charles County in east central Missouri... Southeastern Lincoln County in east central Missouri... East central Montgomery County in east central Missouri... Central Warren County in east central Missouri... * Until midnight CDT. * At 1120 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Jonesburg, moving east at 55 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...Three inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... O`Fallon, St. Peters, Wentzville, Lake St. Louis, Dardenne Prairie, Troy, Warrenton, Wright City, Cottleville, St. Paul, Moscow Mills, Winfield, Jonesburg, Truesdale, Innsbrook, Josephville, Fountain N` Lakes, Chain of Rocks, Harvester and Flint Hill. This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between exits 179 and 224. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3874 9136 3889 9138 3902 9058 3875 9058 TIME...MOT...LOC 0420Z 261DEG 49KT 3882 9124 HAIL...3.00IN WIND...60MPH

Quite a history of 3 inch hail with it seems as well ETA: Also moving east at 60mph per the latest SWS... trucking right along

I would bet SPC keeps the mod risk for the 0600 DAY 1 OTLK. Probably ratchets up the wording a bit and perhaps mentions potential to upgrade... but IMO can't see HIGH being issued till later in the morning i.e. the 1300 OTLK if there is going to be one

3 inch hail reported by spotters in Jefferson City, MO

disco talks about giant hail possible

Looks like our first chance in a while of some thunderstorms, maybe even an isolated severe threat is on Sunday afternoon

Reading the AFD tonight makes me think we will be seeing alot of rain over the next few weeks... talks of potential flooding too. Hope we can get some good storms as well

Sorry to hear that... that really sucks We're currently fighting with OSSE and Fairfax to get paid for our school after this month. We are a private therapeutic day school, level 5 school. We basically get all of the DC kids that they can't teach in regular schools - special education and others... and all of the VA kids we have are ones who got kicked out of regular school and sent to us as a last stop before being sent to residential. We've sent work home to the kids (nearly 100 in total) in the past two weeks and are preparing to do so again to prove that we are still teaching the kids even if not online. I hope your wife is able to find something quickly

I'm betting they'll join VA or at least close through mid-May at earliest... @mappy had tweeted that they are meeting tomorrow to discuss it

I expect Maryland to follow suit or be closed till sometime in May... NC schools are closed through May 15th

Bout time https://mobile.twitter.com/nbcwashington/status/1241549504064753666 https://mobile.twitter.com/wapodavenport/status/1241551367572987906

Richmond reached 88 today, breaking the record of 85 set in 1948 https://mobile.twitter.com/MegWiseNBC12/status/1241115479063887873

Hope all those with kids are ready for schools to be out till at least May... DCPS is closed till April 27th at the earliest now. Not trying to make fun of any parents or anything... just saying get ready for more staying at home trying to entertain them once school work goes by the wayside

Record set in 1945... got to love the rest of the info though lol https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_lwx/status/1241116489551355911

LWX in their afternoon AFD talks snow and potential for a few inches of wet snow accums out west and into the higher elevations

73 here now

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1154 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020 The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Coke County in west central Texas... East central Sterling County in west central Texas... * Until 1245 AM CDT. * At 1153 PM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Sterling City, moving northeast at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Silver around 1220 AM CDT. Sanco around 1230 AM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include The Intersection Of Highway 158 And Ranch Road 2059. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is developing. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!