yoda

@NorthArlington101 do you have the closeup version? This is the closest PW gets

We all take

Its not heavy snow... but a good 6 to 8 hours of snow across most of the region on the 18z RGEM

I'm figuring they would wait till after the 00z suite before issuing anything tbh

Kinda late from LWX for their afternoon AFD

For the Alleghenies As the wave amplifies, most models show a jet steak developing downstream, with an enhanced band of precipitation developing in the equatorward entrance region of the jet streak. While there`s still some uncertainty with respect to exactly where this band winds up, most solutions have this enhanced band of precipitation developing along the I-95 corridor Saturday night. This could result in a relative minimum in precipitation between the Blue Ridge and the Alleghenies, with higher totals along the I-95 corridor (where the best synoptic forcing will be) and in the Alleghenies (where there will be some additional upslope snow as the system departs). With such a narrow banded feature, there`s still a fair amount of uncertainty with respect to how much precipitation will ultimately fall. Precipitation could also potentially start as a brief period of rain along the I-95 corridor before much colder air rushes in later during the night behind an Arctic front. For these reasons, a wide variety of potential solutions exists, especially along the I-95 corridor. Further west, a high end- advisory or low-end warning level snowfall appears likely. Between the Allegheny Front and Blue Ridge lesser QPF amounts are likely with all precipitation likely falling as snow. Most solutions show a coating to two inches of snow in this area, but as much as 4 inches could be possible in a high end scenario in the Shenadoah Valley. Further east, around the I-95 corridor, the widest range of potential solutions exists. If most of the precipitation were to fall as rain, or the band of higher QPF were to shift northward out of the area, as little as a coating to an inch of snow could occur. Currently, we have 1-4 inches of snow forecast as the most likely scenario to the east of the Blue Ridge. In a high end scenario, as much as 6 inches of snow could occur under the heaviest part of the band if the precipitation stays all snow. Aside from the threat for snow early in the day, winds will pick up substantially behind this arctic front by Sunday afternoon. Expect wind gusts out of the northwest up to 30 mph, with gusts closer to 45 mph on the ridgetops out west. Wind headlines cannot be ruled out for the ridges during this timeframe as a result.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 139 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 NJZ006-106>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-130245- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.251214T0300Z-251214T1800Z/ Hudson-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)- Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 139 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 10 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 137 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 DEZ001-002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ070-071-101>106- 131000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0015.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/ New Castle-Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Hunterdon- Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem- Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland- Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Sandy Hook, Pottstown, Media, West Chester, Camden, Morrisville, Pennsville, Wharton State Forest, Jackson, Easton, New Brunswick, Freehold, Somerville, Collegeville, Dover, Cape May Court House, Mount Holly, Honey Brook, Glassboro, Perkasie, Hammonton, Norristown, Moorestown, Lansdale, Ocean City, Millville, Oxford, Kennett Square, Chalfont, Denton, Atlantic City, Centreville, Cherry Hill, Chestertown, Flemington, Trenton, Philadelphia, Long Beach Island, Wilmington, and Doylestown 137 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

I know this is Mt. Holly... but definitely thought they'd wait one more model cycle URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 137 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 DEZ001-002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ070-071-101>106- 131000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0015.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/ New Castle-Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Hunterdon- Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem- Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland- Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Sandy Hook, Pottstown, Media, West Chester, Camden, Morrisville, Pennsville, Wharton State Forest, Jackson, Easton, New Brunswick, Freehold, Somerville, Collegeville, Dover, Cape May Court House, Mount Holly, Honey Brook, Glassboro, Perkasie, Hammonton, Norristown, Moorestown, Lansdale, Ocean City, Millville, Oxford, Kennett Square, Chalfont, Denton, Atlantic City, Centreville, Cherry Hill, Chestertown, Flemington, Trenton, Philadelphia, Long Beach Island, Wilmington, and Doylestown 137 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

Same. If we get more than an inch, I would be super pleased

I believe Kuchera is slightly worse lol

@WxUSAF did you try to program the 12z UKIE snow max over you?

But that would take away all of your... snow

But @stormtracker hasn't posted the Brazilian yet... is the Australian out?

12z CMC... gimme

Closest I can get on PW with 12z RGEM

I just posted 06z ukie right above yours

I think many of us would take the 06z UKIE too

I'd take that and run.

Oh, ok then Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1256 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 DCZ001-112100- District of Columbia- Including the city of Washington 1256 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 .THIS AFTERNOON...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. .TONIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Light and variable winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 90 percent. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs around 30.

Help us Obi Euro, you're our only hope

RGEM is blah

12z ICON 10:1

The Orioles missed out on Kyle Schwarber yesterday but are getting their big bat today, as ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports that they’re finalizing a five-year, $155MM deal with longtime Mets first baseman Pete Alonso. The agreement is in place with only a physical yet to be completed, Joel Sherman of the New York Post adds. There are no deferrals or opt-outs in the contract, per MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo. Andy Kostka of the Baltimore Banner adds that Alonso receives a limited no-trade clause. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/12/orioles-finalizing-deal-with-pete-alonso.html