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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. I know this well. But the flood from Michael was the worst in recorded history in Danville according to the USGS gage.
  2. The preceding river conditions were way different then. The water levels are much lower now and it would have to rain over 7 inches to even get to moderate flood. There will be some flooding but it is highly unlikely to be close to Michael. I was in Danville when it hit. 3 people were washed away and drowned by the flash flooding, the Dan River rose 20 feet in hours. People underestimate what a disaster it was for the city
  3. It won't be close. Wind gusted over 60 mph in Danville and it rained over 6 inches in 6 hours.
  4. Michael was devastating for Danville. This wont touch that..
  5. Robert has been laying down the painful truth on Facebook. Also talks about the flooding threat which I am very concerned
  6. `18Z Nam now shows no snow at all for the weekend. Hopefully the up slope will over perform..
  7. We almost always over-perform with rain here in Western NC. I have close to 10 inches in January so it wont take much to cause big issues
  8. The difference in comparison to last event is the trajectory of moisture and the strength of the wave. Unless it starts trending stringer, there wont be enough moisture for anyone outside the smokes for more than a novelty snow shower or sprinkle.
  9. The Euro looks pretty pitiful unless you live in or near the Smokies
  10. Things are looking a little dire for flooding this month.. Long range the Euro and GFS pump out tons of rain for the area.. 8-12 inches the next 2 weeks seem possible...
  11. Models are backing off of the snow for the weekends showing less moisture
  12. Doesn't matter much when its 36 and we just saw last week. It's tough for it to accumulate unless the rates are heavy.
  13. The wave is weakening as it gets closer to NC and the mountains shear it out. Lee side only gets .2 or less, need the heavier rates to mix the cold air to the surface
  14. I have been saying it for a while but flooding is going to become a major concern if this keeps up. After a widespread 2-5 inch rain this week it looks to be wet again next week and beyond...
  15. Needs to dig deeper for us to get anything but the surface looks warm as of now for those east of the mtns.
  16. May have to take a trip this weekend if it continues to look like 5 or 6 inches for higher elevations
  17. Last nights OP Euro drops some good snow on WNC and East TN next weekend..
  18. Just had a brief spring like shower lol
  19. Next week is going to be interesting with a possible strong storm system with heavy rain, flooding and severe weather
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