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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. I bet you get some 60's next week. What's your elevation?
  2. I remember the days when the NAM often fell in line with the Euro and that combo was hard to beat...
  3. It has been chilly at night here recently. Down to 23 last night and in the lower 20s multiple times the past week or so.
  4. Like you said, its bias for overamping storms is obvious with this one. Pretty much every other model is progressive with the storm and only gets lighter precip into WNC either way,
  5. It's the long range NAM against the world.. we know how this usually turns out
  6. This. And looking at signs of a SE ridge developing on the OP euro and Eps to a lesser extent. They can be a death knell in February/March
  7. Yea the map is pretty poorly done even after the needed edits. Almost like an intern did it.
  8. Yes I believe so. Originally it had my 30 year average at 3.3 which was not even close. I called them out on it and they admitted they were missing snowfall data for a couple years and remade it.
  9. I remember when they made this graphic they took a lot of flack. This is an edited version of the original. The original omitted a couple seasons of data including big winters of 1988 and another so the totals are lower than expected for some still. My 30 year average in Marion is around 10 inches not 6.6.
  10. The odds continue to increase for a snowless winter for most of the southeast. I would put the odds of a trace or less of snow for Charlotte, GSP, Raleigh and GSO at 70%.
  11. Looks like the Wednesday "threat" is going sour too. Even the Nam has the northern stream energy way too far north and into west Virginia and Virginia now. Odds of accumulating snow in WNC valleys is low
  12. There have been a few occasions where I could drive to the Marion rest area which is about three or four hundred feet higher than where I live and see a white ground and nothing at the house which is 2 miles away.
  13. Give me a warm and dry February at this point and I won't complain about the lack of snow.
  14. Yup we are in trouble, especially in lower elevations. Next weekend looks too warm and after that it's going to be another week at least before it's cold enough.. That puts us close to the middle of February.
  15. We're in trouble folks. Big SE ridge looks to build in after next weekend for a while at least according to the EPS and OP Euro. More rain of course too.
  16. It absolutely hammers the Northeast this run, will be some 20 plus totals
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