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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. The MJO isnt looking as promising now and may head back into phase 6 or the COD. The cold will probably relax in late Jan either way after a week or so of at or below average.
  2. Well the OP Euro does show moisture coming after day 10 but it will likely be rain
  3. 1.5 hah. I'm close to 4 inches here since Saturday in the foothills and thankfully it looks to dry out soon...
  4. The line was uneventful here in McDowell, but the rain and flash flooding have been the bigger concern.
  5. I sure hope the pattern does change do a cold and drier one because it is setting up for serious flooding. I'm closing in on 3 inches quickly and the line isn't here yet.
  6. 1.5 already here and that's about what the NWS forecasted for the entire event...
  7. Yea the OP runs looks like crap on the GFS and Euro
  8. I hope we can all cash in soon but i'm still having my doubts about the pattern change. The pacific is still messed up and we are hoping the -EPO can save us. I also see signs of the SE ridge having trouble breaking down even on the EPS.
  9. I thought the EPS looked warmer overall but could be wrong
  10. The OP Euro is still not bringing down the cold like the OP GFS, hug the EPS for now
  11. Can't wait to see all the people in here after the cold keeps getting delayed a few days on the models
  12. No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
  13. Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
  14. The bad news is the Euro really never gets us cold in the next 10 days in last nights run..
  15. Well at least the Euro did cool us off this run at day 10 after a deluge of rain.
  16. Euro still shows big time rain totals for the escarpment areas... Flooding seems likely
  17. This weather is so odd. Looked like a squall line coming into Asheville with dark clouds and wind gusting to 35 at least.
  18. If this pattern continues, it's only a matter of time before major flooding issues in western NC and SC. Already had some mud/rock slides with the last system and it will just get worse.
  19. Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley.
  20. The Euro is warmer and further north of course but still gives the northern mountains some love
  21. Yea Tuesday morning is looking more interesting even for northern foothill areas possibly getting some wet snow for a few hours if the NAM is correct.
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