wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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GFS still pretty much sucks unless you are VA north
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I don't think that will be a problem for you this time. No downsloping with the SW flow
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I will take what I can get here after the past 25 months. If it's an inch or 2 of snow and sleet and crusty glaze on top I would be happy
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RDPS looks similar just a tad warmer
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The hi res NAM just doesn't have much heavy precip. Very splotchy with the WAA.
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Keep in mind places with accrual are barely cold enough so it wouldn't be this much. Poor run.
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More of a nuisance event on the NAM for most of NC except for far NW corner and higher elevations on the Blue Ridge
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Not as much moisture or cold as the 18Z.
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This run is a little less aggressive with the overrunning precip and thus a bit warmer for western NC so far
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That's some pretty dry air on the NAM on Saturday afternoon
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RDPS is a lot of sleet here after a half inch/inch of snow then .25 ZP on top
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The Op Euro did not trend south though
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Temps as the heaviest precip moves in
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Lots of ZR
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Maybe an inch of snow and sleet then .40 ZR here om that run. Ouch
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Its a much better run for sure. More snow and sleet on the onset
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Hows the control run look for the initial batch in WNC Thanks
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Could be severe potential too
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Looks like we will have just enough cold air in the northeast to keep us from torching later next week.
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Temperatures are marginal and some reason the rates aren't that great even though the low is in a good spot for them
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One thing I have noticed on the models is that if the storm blows up along the coast here should be some nice nw flow snow for you guys.
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Its starting to look like the GFS
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This run isnt as good for foothills areas, its been trending warmer and warmer
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it did very poorly here with the early January event. The Hi Res Nam right before the system started was showing lighter amounts here before the other models.
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One poor trend on the Euro is the high pressure getting weaker and weaker... Was 1035, 1034, 1033, now 1032
