I'm basically in the same boat as you even though I'm in the foothills of NC. Not even an inch of snow combined since Dec. 2018 and the coastal plain is going to get more tomorrow night than I have in 25 months.
The difference between the GFS suite and other models is laughable. Its spitting out over 1 inch of QPF while the nam has less than .2 for most of the same area
Yea that Kuchera ratio burned in earlier this month constantly showing 3 to 6 inches plus when we both got less than an inch. I do hope the central NC and eastern NC folks get a surprise though
Lets see what the Euro has to offer for this weekend. It has shown wintry precip for the past 4 or 5 runs in a row for the 40 corridor to the northern mountains.
I'm not sold on it yet but I do think this is the best chance for CAD areas north of 40. The source cold is the coldest of the season by far even though the storm track is far from optimal