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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. UK still looks pretty solid and cold here along the foothills
  2. BTW, it's 23.2 here already and the forecasted low from NOAA is 22.
  3. The GFS is more in line with other models now. I will call this a win if I get an inch of snow/sleet and .10 ZR
  4. Pretty much every model I have seen so far tonight is trending slightly warmer
  5. It's not much here. Warms up past freezing quickly
  6. That run even cut down Roanoke totals
  7. Crappy NAM run here, pretty much no sleet or snow, straight to ZR
  8. It is warmer, but mostly a product of less moisture so the dew point is lower
  9. So far it's less aggressive with the overrunning finger of precip
  10. Let's see if the NAM is as cold as 18Z, trends colder, or warmer
  11. HRRR is quite the sleetfest for Northern foothills
  12. HRRR is 2-3 degrees warmer so far.. shocker.
  13. It will be interesting to see how it's delineated. I figure McDowell mountains will be warning and eastern McDowell will be advisory.
  14. I'm honestly surprised the NWS went with WSW
  15. I do think places from Marion to Taylorsville up to Mt Airy see a lot of sleet, probably an inch or 2.
  16. I have seen many storms similar to this where Marion had 3 to 4 inches of snow and by the time you got down to Bostic there was little to nothing. Sometimes even by the time you get to the Rutherford/McDowell border
  17. I would take the NWS forecast and run with it although I'm afraid we get more ice and less snow
  18. Only one that came in warmer was the RDPS
  19. No time better than the present.. for an old fashioned sleet storm!
  20. Thanks Ward, I sure hope so. Short range models seem to be generally trending a bit colder so it will be interesting. I definitely hope we don't get power issues with lots of ice.
  21. What you thinking for places like Marion, seems like we could be in a decent spot
  22. New NAMs are bad news for ice issues in Northern foothills and mountains. Even 85 corridor gets some
  23. The key here is if we can get enough heavy precip in with the WAA before it switches over to ZR or rain.
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