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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    The HRRR is SUPER warm at the surface.. 37 in AVL during precip tomorrow...
  2. wncsnow
    Meanwhile the HRRR looks like a other 4 letter word still which does cause some pause..
  3. wncsnow
    GFS does look warmer so far...
  4. wncsnow
    Crazy run of the RGEM... Best so far for most areas and much colder
  5. wncsnow
    Think the HiRes Nam has right idea.
  6. wncsnow
    I like that the NAM didnt come in super warm and amped.. I think its a good sign for my area and WNC even though it shows less moisture
  7. wncsnow
    The RAP paints a prettier picture than HRRR but its still at the end of its run. Wait and see mode. NAM coming in shortly
  8. wncsnow
    I like areas from AVL to HKY to winston to Danville and just NW of there to get highest amounts
  9. wncsnow
    Mt. Mitchell will really do well in this setup, over a foot is attainable above 5,000 ft
  10. wncsnow
    This GFS is a weenie run for WNC, SwVA.. Climo areas look to score..
  11. wncsnow
    highly doubt it. Think we get a WWA. If models keep it up tonight though we might get one in the morning
  12. wncsnow
    GSP usually starts low and gradually increases as the event closes in but they dont have much time, especially if places get 3-6 inches like some models show..
  13. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM is beautiful
  14. wncsnow
    Hard not to get a little excited for areas N and W of 85 with todays trends, the EURO was especially encouraging this close to start time of the event
  15. wncsnow
    One thing that I have noticed is the EURO and UKMET especially have moved the SLP quite a bit closer to the coast and a little stronger too 1008 vs 1005... That helps with more precip near the Blue Ridge and cools the column with heavier precip
  16. wncsnow
    Gives you and me 3-5 inches at least lol
  17. wncsnow
    Verbatim... Euro is warning criteria snow for southern mtns, southern and central foothills out along i 40 corridor to GSO
  18. wncsnow
    EURO looks pretty good for Western areas.. colder and further West..
  19. wncsnow
    RGEM and Canadian isnt updating on pivotalwx
  20. wncsnow
    Probably not.. But not a bad spot for sure, temps may be an issue here and in Marion
  21. wncsnow
    Yea, brings .8 QPF for me! Sadly a lot is wasted on rain/mixing...
  22. wncsnow
    EURO will be interesting, really wish this weak ridge would go away and the cold air could fully entrench itself on the East side of the Apps
  23. wncsnow
    If I get a dusting I will be pleased. GFS keeps temp in mid 30s during snow so it wont stick well..
  24. wncsnow
    Mt. Mitchell looks good
  25. wncsnow
    The GFS only shows good snow accumulation for the mountains... lighter amounts East due to being warmer
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