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Superstorm93

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Everything posted by Superstorm93

  1. Superstorm93
    Check out those new towers...
  2. Superstorm93
    Recon is finally departing. Looks like we'll have a fix in a few hours.
  3. Superstorm93
    Convection really exploding in the northern portion of the circulation. Banding has improved considerably as well.
  4. Superstorm93
    They may be overestimating the amount of shear coming from Gamma. It's really hard to see this not blowing up.
  5. Superstorm93
    The GFS sounding though...
  6. Superstorm93
    Delta is really starting to get that "look" to it this morning. Will be interesting to see if it can take advantage of the favorable conditions ahead..
  7. Superstorm93
    Recon now reports that the eye is closed and only 6nm wide
  8. Superstorm93
  9. Superstorm93
    VDM has 994mb with no eye available. This is why its not appropriate to run around saying this is rapidly intensifying.
  10. Superstorm93
    Pressure up a bit on the latest pass with winds in the 55-60 knot range. Would be nice to get a decent NE quad pass to see if this is actually a hurricane.
  11. Superstorm93
    Last VDM had the eye down to 4nm but still open to the SW We'll see how long Marco can hold up against the shear and dry air to it's west.
  12. Superstorm93
    Recon not finding any impressive pressure readings so far. Still might be an open wave at this point.
  13. Superstorm93
    Looks like the GFS wants to bring down another TUTT ahead of the system behind 97L and shear/land interaction eventually kill the system off. Pretty notable changes with regards to TCG in general, but we're still a long ways out from knowing is this has a shot at surviving past the islands. 97L should have a pretty decent environment in the Western Caribbean later this week, but we'll see it if it can slow down to take advantage of it.
  14. Superstorm93
    New SPC MD
  15. Superstorm93
  16. Superstorm93
    Usually reserved for widespread damaging wind events. Here's an example https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/2017/ww0280.html
  17. Superstorm93
  18. Superstorm93
    At 1103 AM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Calvert, or near Hearne, moving northeast at 30 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
  19. Superstorm93
    At 1051 AM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Hearne, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
  20. Superstorm93
    Even more bullish for 16z tomorrow...
  21. Superstorm93
    Just for the sake of posterity, here's an observed hodo derived from the VWP @ SHV from 4/2/17
  22. Superstorm93
  23. Superstorm93
    Sure https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=ud_004hmax_pb20&sector=sp&rd=20190413&rt=0000
  24. Superstorm93
    00z HREF
  25. Superstorm93
    Shame that the HRRR-TLE tornado probs aren't being run for this event (yet) The SSCRAM+HRRR SWG has things starting to kick off pretty early AOA 14z over TX tomorrow morning https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/hrrr/sscram/
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