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Everything posted by Tatamy
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Tatamy replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12z NAEFS at 180 hours -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light rain mixed with sleet. 33F -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very light drizzle 33F -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Same here. -
Yes it is progged to fill in later. Question will be precip types. Most models are keeping precip type rain for most with snow north of I-80 /I-95 in NY as the afternoon progresses. New HRRR is colder and would have more snow south of I-80 in NJ/PA. Another piece of this is the inverted trough that is expected to be set up particularly across eastern PA. This will effect rates and thus precip types.
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12z NAM has totally missed this initial burst of snow. According to it the Lehigh Valley (I am in Bethlehem Twp.) gets no snow today. It's only 9 AM and a lot of models have already busted on the day. I am at 1" myself and it is still coming down. The 12z HRRR has trended colder for the area near I-78 in eastern PA and NJ.
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Obs and nowcast Friday afternoon-night 18z NY Day 2021- 12z/2
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate Freezing rain. 31.6. Trees and shrubs starting to accumulate ice.- 58 replies
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Tatamy replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
18z GEFS - No support on the ensembles for next Friday that I can see here. With the current pattern in place focusing on an event on the OP at 168 hours is fantasy. -
Obs and nowcast Friday afternoon-night 18z NY Day 2021- 12z/2
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
32 with Freezing rain- 58 replies
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- freezing rain
- sleet
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We will have to see if subsequent runs are like this. Previous runs of the RGEM have kept the R/S line mostly north of I80. Up to now this model has been steadfast with a warmer solution. Agree that this is a minor event for most.
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Obs and nowcast Friday afternoon-night 18z NY Day 2021- 12z/2
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
32 with light rain here.- 58 replies
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- freezing rain
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Cold front has just passed through. Temperature has dropped to 44F
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Total rainfall so far this event - 1.20". Highest wind gust - 33 mph.- 227 replies
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0z NAM output for highest wind gusts- 227 replies
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
12z Euro maximum projected wind gusts- 227 replies
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It's been quite an evening here. We now have sleet pellets mixed in and according to Dual Pol Doppler we will be transitioning soon. We have had 8" so far. 19F / DP 18F. Blizzard conditions reported at ABE.
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It is still snowing in southern PA right near the DE line. blob:https://www.511pa.com/53ece02f-f11f-4747-bc4e-c081fede4295
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I am seeing very light snow begin here. There is steady light snow falling to my west between Allentown and Harrisburg. Visibilities that I am seeing in those areas look to be about 1 - 2 miles along I-78. Along I-81 to the south and west of Harrisburg visibilities drop off steadily. I am seeing 1/4 mile visibilities as you go down towards MD.
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