BlizzardNole

Well das FWIW our point and click now has only snow wording for tomorrow and tomorrow night.

Man I hope he's right -- if we managed that, and only had light rain/drizzle after it would be a huge win. Side note: just what would this month had been like with even just a slightly negative NAO?

Mine's 3.5"! Anyway, I am hoping this ends up fast and weak -- maybe we can get a little something and dryslot or just drizzle and keep Sunday in the 30s. Anything but 50 and mod rain. That would be miserable. It would be real nice if the start time is earlier on Sat morning.

I wonder if this February might set a record for coldest temps vs. least amount of snowfall.

Germantown, MD Nov 26: 2.0" Jan 6: 2.5 Jan 21: 3.5 Jan 27: 3.0 Feb 14: 0.5" (areas as close as Rockville and Columbia got 2-4") Feb 16: 2.8 (was predicted for 4-8" up to and during the event) Feb 18: 0.5 ("cartopper headquarters" was appropriate thread title for this) Much below normal temps but so little to show for it. Still waiting on a warning criteria snowfall. Total: 14.8"

Was on the train when squall came thru Germantown -- looked good on Radarscope. Measured 1/2" on the driveway and sidewalk. LOL tied Saturday. Punching thru the squall on the train going 60 mph northwestward reminded me of summer showers. Went from nothing to real intense, then over in less than a minute.

Mattb65 -- thanks for posting the clip - that was awesome! I wish we had gotten that lucky. I would have taken away some of the pain of the Monday night failure.

I hope March absolutely torches. I want to see a huge SE ridge develop and stay....put a bullet right between the eyes of this winter.

Wow those departure numbers vs. how little snow we've gotten is depressing.

I look forward to my dusting.

Well at least my area did better than the squall -- since we only got a half inch from that. God what a frustrating winter.

It's pretty out but 3" is a disappointment with 4-8" forecasted. Never saw even moderate snow. Hopes for a warning criteria event this winter are fading.

I've got graupel in Germantown too. Have about 2.5"; 14 degrees. Radar looks like it should be at least mod snow, but just light graupel. I guess the upside is it will be denser and have more staying power on the ground?

It is in their updated discussion issued at 10:19pm

This is a nice write-up by LWX at 10:19 pm on the hole in the precip shield, and why it should fill back in: STILL NO CHANGES TO WARNINGS AND ADVYS AT THIS TIME. LTST RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST THAT A HOLE HAS DVLPD IN THE PCPN SHIELD. THIS SEEMS TO BE ALIGNED WITH AN AREA OF NVA (negative vorticity advection) CAPTURED IN LTST NAM. WHILE ISENT UPGLIDE MVG OFFSHORE...THERE ARE STILL SVRL FACTORS WHICH SUPPORT PCPN DVLPMNT. FIRST OF ALL...THERE WL BE PLENTY OF LIFT DUE TO UPR JET...WHICH WUD PERMIT RAPID LIFT/PCPN DVLPMNT ONCE A MORE FVRBL SCENARIO RETURNS BENEATH. SECOND...THERES STILL A PLETHORA OF S/WV ENERGY TO SWING THRU. FINALLY...LOPRES TRACKING ACRS SERN CONUS WL BE SENDING ITS BAROCLINIC ZONE TWD THE MID ATLC. SO WHILE BANDING MAY NOT BE QUITE AS OPTIMAL AS ERLR... ITS TOO SOON TO CALL THIS THING OFF. HV TRIMMED PCPN TTLS BY ABT AN INCH DUE TO THE CURRENT LULL. SUBSTANTIVELY...THAT WONT CHG MUCH. THE HIEST TTLS WL BE IN SRN MD...LOWEST NUMBERS WL BE IN THE NWRN CORNER.

About 1" now; light snow and 14 degrees.

Weathafella -- Long time no see! Man you guys are having one epic winter up there. Next door neighbor's daughter, who loves snow, is at Boston U. She must be having a blast.

First tiny flakes in Germantown now -- LOVE seeing the 4-6 all the way to the MD/PA border now on LWX's winter hazard map. Gonna open a nice bottle of Apothic Red later. Enjoy everyone!

I think we do fine in MontCo -- hoping for 5". It will definitely be more DC and south but that's OK with me. I really want to hit the 5" mark though. I remember the 1/30/10 event we were predicted for just 2-4" with 6-10" south of DC, and we ended up with 7". Maybe we get lucky with a good band or two! Sure is nice to have no worries at all on precip type.

Wow that is one beautiful forecast for Richmond - snow, heavy at times, lows in the upper teens. Enjoy!

Central area person weighing in -- I hope some banding helps our northern people end up with good totals too, but I think it's great that lower southern MD to central VA is going to get a good hit. I grew up in Calvert, so I know how often the southern part of our area gets left out. If we get a snow-to-rain situation this weekend, the northern folks will do better than the rest of us.

State College has upped amounts to 3-7" for York and Gettysburg -- looking better for our northern MD folks! Nice to see the warning to the border.

Germantown, MD Nov 26: 2.0" Jan 6: 2.5 Jan 21: 3.5 Jan 27: 3.0 Feb 14: 1/2" Last night hurt when areas close by got 3-4". I hope like hell I am back on here Tuesday night with a happy update. Total: 11.5"

Me too. For that 1/30/10 deal I actually drove down to my parents' in Calvert where 6-10" was predicted, vs. just 2-4 for Germantown. They got 7.5" and Germantown got 7". LOL 120-mile round trip for 1/2"! It was fun though. Like others say, I'd rather be needing a little more north trend than hoping for one to come south. I really like seeing all those WS watches and warnings to our WSW.