powderfreak

18z EPS... the mean is only five hundredths of an inch less in QPF than the 12z up this way. Still a decent spread compared to the OP.

Some narrow zone would get a decent event out of that...with light mood snow accumulations across the rest of SNE/CNE.

Ha, yeah I have liked the mid-level look for some arcing bands well north and blossoming as upper air support moves in from the west...displaced from the stronger isentropic lift moving through SNE/CNE. RT 2 to Dendy is a climo favored spot in SWFE type deals and this looks like it may fit that bill. Just far enough north to stay snow and just far enough south to get the juicy lift. Of course I could certainly envision it getting squashed such that Tolland Massif stays all snow. That 18z NAM looks least likely, ha.

Yup I agree. You guys are getting your mojo back after last winter. Last year no matter what the models said everyone was assuming congrats BTV or Montreal, even if it showed a CT jackpot lol. Now it’s like folks believe again.

Ha, yeah been so f’in busy ramping up for the holidays at both work (mostly hiring and training staff so they don’t get run over by the freight train arriving in Stowe on 12/26) and home, that my AMWX time has certainly taken a hit the past 2 weeks. Hoping for a little refresher on Tuesday, we’ll see.

I feel like everyone is rooting against us. Should probably report some posters for talking about solutions I don’t like, just like when Dr.Dews gets reported for posting rain maps in SNE .

Merry Suppression season?

Merry Suppression season?

Great mid level magic on that Euro run at 12z...

I like the look up here. Some mid level fingers of fronto possible with higher ratios.

I don't know when the site changed but the airport location is definitely a snowier spot than lake front. I know the 60s and 70s were snowier, along with recently in the 2000s... big storm frequency is also up. It would be interesting to compare various sites around New England.

Noticing BOX has Winter Weather Advisories out for some freezing rain... the same advisories they had out for 8-13" of snow in the big storm. Had me chuckling that they had it for some light ZR and also had that headline for a caking 8-13" of snow as well.

Region wide 2-6" seems like a good bet right now, from Canada to the Sound.

It's New England.... I can't remember a December where it didn't rain at the picnic tables at some point, lol. I've seen the worst in 2015-16 and that really put things into perspective. 0.25" of SN/IP before going to -ZR/RN. Roads just wet but there's some glaze on the evergreens.

-SN up here as well. Cars dusted up at the ski area....but won’t be long for this world as 4,000ft at the summit is now 33F. That warmth aloft explains the aggies falling, clumping together.

I mean there’s no one that would toss those 12z GFS and GGEM runs next week.

Wouldn't that just be averaging all the daily stake depth readings...throw a stick in the ground in the same place each winter and see what happens? I always think of average depth as one small point on the Earth... it's hard to compare perfectly to other areas but it's real value comes with elapsed time.

I think every single person has said they prefer snow in December and wish the climo was for March bombs in December. But it's not. There is empirical data that March is a better snow month BUT that has no bearing on personal preferences. I'd rather it snow in November and I really enjoy November early season snows when it's supposed to be brown stick season. But I understand what we are up against climo wise.

I was thinking that too. Much rather watch the snow slowly disappear when it’s sunny and 45F by day and 15F at night and clear skies....than going to bed with a foot and waking up to 58/58 with 1” rain and a foggy lawn. Just a slow decrease of 1-2” a day maybe instead of just vaporized in 8 hours while you sleep.

It’s all about the sun then...when it’s dark it should be winter. When the daylight gets longer it’s time to install. Makes sense why you rush climo on both ends then.

Yeah reading through this there’s like two different discussions... what folks prefer and what climo actually is. I really don’t see a difference between what just happened and March snows, like you pointed out....someone gets a 20-incher in early March and then it’s gone roughly 10-12 days later. Seems about the same thing happening right now.

Yup...especially weak when you do it because someone posts progs of weather you don’t desire. I might as well start reporting ya’ll for trolling when you post maps only showing SNE getting snow and shafting NNE. I come here to enjoy myself, don’t need to see that stuff .

I’m all for free speech. It’d be like someone who doesn’t like cold and snow reporting a person for posting snow maps all the time. Everyone should have it together enough that they don’t throw an adult temper tantrum if a map depicting rain is tossed up. We don’t control the weather, it is what it is.

Lame. In the summer when most want nice low humidity weather we don’t report people who post maps of high dews. We shouldn’t try harder to make this an echo chamber of the weather we desire.

The desires definitely don’t line up with climo. He averages more stat padding snow than he does pre-Xmas snow. I get the association with the darkness and solar cycle though. Most would rather the seasons follow that more closely, vs a 2-month lag time. Coldest and snowiest on darkest day and hottest weather on the longest day would be ideal....too bad Ma Nature don’t care.