powderfreak

I don’t think we are looking at the same models then, ha. Like I said, slam dunk further west as the ridge is a pig, but it just doesn’t ever really get here. I’ll try to .gif one of these up for you.

Gonna be close. GFS/ECM/GGEM Ensembles don’t seem as confident as you. They definitely torch to our west but run into some serious resistance NE of Philly/NYC. I bet you’d sneak a real hot day in CT around the 7th or so with that look but then it just gets crushed back SW by the 9th/10th. Mid-Atlantic to Ohio Valley looks toasty.

GEFS just keep fighting off any heat with the lower heights over the Maritimes. It gets a piece in around June 7-9 but then gets beaten down again from the 10th onward. Our own little island of Business Suites. Makes me think of Tip musing about us being in our own world while a lot of the US bakes.

Yeah I’m enjoying the variety. That was a nice stretch of high heat for sure. Now we chill off for a couple days. It’ll be back. Big fan of highly changing weather, right down to my diurnal range fetish.

57F at 10:35am... yesterday it was 81F at the same time. Big breath of fresh air being in the 50s instead of 80s.

Not much wind except a little gust front at the beginning, but it was a legit TS with frequent lightning. Moving too fast to drop a lot of rain it seems (those 1"+ amounts), though any random spot can sometime get lit up in humid convection. PWATS several standard deviations above normal for late-May, giving a widespread 0.3-0.6" in a very short period of time despite the speed.

I'm not exactly stoked on that look, but looping out the model runs towards mid-June has that over-the-top look again that we just saw. There's heat there in SNE end of the first week but then it seems to break but build again over the top. Maybe this is the summer Montreal bakes. EPS has that look though as there's a persistent weakness east of New England... can envision a scenario where if those lower heights are stable off the New England coast, that pieces of the midwest and Great Lakes ridge fold over top up into Ontario and Quebec.

Finishes on the 9th? You wonder if this is a summer where we bake further NW and especially Canada. The last few GFS runs have been signaling sustained big departures over Canada in the means, but more transient in SNE.

Some incredibly impressive lightning. Several bolts seen going straight to the ground on the horizon with some real house shakers. Short duration rain was impressive even if the totals aren’t... but a good soaking of a 1/3rd of an inch so far.

Maxed out at 85F today. 82/66 currently. Full summer.

Didn't see this posted... 25th Anniversary of the Great Barrington Tornado page by BOX https://www.weather.gov/aly/25th_Anniversary_Great_Barrington_Tornado Crazy the damage while that hillside behind it is just chillin like its a normal day...looks like some damage right side hill though.

Welcome to the club of all-time heat this week, ha. Crazy stuff.

Torching pretty good again... 84/65! This week has all had days that are above our normal max summer climo. Our max climo highs are like 82-83F in late July and the last 4 days have been 89/93/84/84. The only way to cool off is to find some glacial pond at elevation. The dog knows how to cool off.

June is going to start with the highs not reaching our minimum temps from the past few days, ha. Nothing but mid-50s to mid-60s for high temps Sunday through Thursday. Whiplash from snow to record heat to late April climo.

Yikes, yeah that's pretty low. The last two weeks especially with a lot of full sun and low RH.

Now that you say that I do remember some talk of that... don't remember it locally but it rings a bell. Maybe it was Dendrite or Gene on here?

Oh I get it, what were your rainfall totals? I'm seeing a lot of 2.5-3.5" on CoCoRAHS in Franklin Cnty, and Hampshire Cnty is pretty tight around 2.75-3.0". I'm a little surprised that's one of the driest on record but maybe my climo barometer is way off. Some of those stations even have snowfall in them from the first two weeks of May, ha. There was some rain around with that deep trough. The real thing is the past two weeks has been bone dry with sun and low dews...during the planting season. Agriculture is just such a roll of the dice around here as a well timed two week dry period can immediately cause such hurt. Hopefully it rains for them, just really bad timing on a dry stretch.

It just seems like it's never the "right mix" in the summer, ever. If it's not dry, it's torrential rain every afternoon. Summer patterns just aren't going to give New England farmers what they want... you just don't see 1/4-1/2" every few days consistently. The issue this year is a few week dry period right at the time of planting. I'm sure we'll all be underwater at some point here in the next month or two. Since March 1st, most SNE sites look to be within an inch of normal water on either side. Some spots are above, others a tick below.

.... it's summer climo. We've been at this long enough to see how it works. It doesn't rain a quarter inch every other day or do frequent lower amounts like cold season weather patterns. You might go 3 weeks with very little rainfall, then get a stalled FROPA and tropical moisture drop 3-4" in the same number of hours... and voila, average precipitation for the month. Summer is short duration extreme rainfall spread among long periods (weeks even) of dryness.

Even if you are OCD about your lawn... like the absolute worst case scenario in New England is a town tells you not to water your lawn from like 9am to 5pm.

What happened in the 80s and mid-2010s? I honestly don't remember a thing regarding drought in the mid-2010s... what effects would we have felt?

Played for the first time this season two days ago at a local 9-hole track not far from the MVL ASOS, lol. Wasn’t too pretty, bogey golf but it was first time out.

Weird rubber bands snapping back and forth pattern we are in... couple frost threats for the cold hollows. LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 439 PM EDT Thursday... Expecting frost potential across the Adirondacks region and Northeast Kingdom for the first day of June, as Monday morning will begin quite cool with core of coldest air settling in during this time period before a moderating trend begins. However, temperatures each day through Thursday will still run below normal for the time of year in dramatic contrast to our recent weather. On Monday night, light winds should promote good cooling, resulting in areas of frost again Tuesday morning.

Time to Shut 'Em Down. That's going to do it for the continuous snowpack season at the fabled Mansfield stake. I went up with the dog to get today's reading and called it 3" though it becomes very tough this time of year. Yesterday's record heat just absolutely eviscerated the remaining snow and the snowpack is now fractured with bare spots. It's really 0-24" up there but the official ruling is to go to a "Trace" once the snow no longer creates a full circle around the stake tree. Today was certainly the last day for that as the little 1-2" bridge in front of the stake won't make it through tonight and certainly not through tomorrow. So tomorrow will go down as a Trace. One helluva impressive snowpack drop the past two weeks, but that's what 9 days averaging +14.1F will do. Yesterday was a whopping +26.5 in the means. Hard to pull daily means greater than +25 in the warm season.

Time to Shut 'Em Down. That's going to do it for the continuous snowpack season at the fabled Mansfield stake. I went up with the dog to get today's reading and called it 3" though it becomes very tough this time of year. Yesterday's record heat just absolutely eviscerated the remaining snow and the snowpack is now fractured with bare spots. It's really 0-24" up there but the official ruling is to go to a "Trace" once the snow no longer creates a full circle around the stake tree. Today was certainly the last day for that as the little 1-2" bridge in front of the stake won't make it through tonight and certainly not through tomorrow. So tomorrow will go down as a Trace. One helluva impressive snowpack drop the past two weeks, but that's what 9 days averaging +14.1F will do. Yesterday was a whopping +26.5 in the means. Hard to pull daily means greater than +25 in the warm season.