powderfreak

Completely meaningless. But gotta talk about something haha. Wednesday is a long way away. That mean includes Saint Lawrence Valley jacks and whiffs.

Barnes Camp plot total at Notch gate. Nor’incher.

You gotta love anomalies.

I will say I thought we'd see more, but there is a nice fresh layer out there. Cold too this evening, it's 13F outside. Still some flurries occasionally moving through, high-vis but floaty flakes. The "snowpack" is sparkling and despite only 5" of crusty snow with a fresh topping, it looks wintry out in town. Wife and I just walked home and it's got a winter vibe. Much better than bare ground and perpetual autumn. Snowfall and especially depth this season hasn't been noteworthy by any means, but I do know it's seemed white outside a decent amount of the time since sometime in November.

It’s so far out in time. Models extrapolating current conditions every 6 hours… Dryslot has said it, but wait till Wednesday night, who knows what we see by then. Precip would move in early Friday AM, that’s an eternity.

DIT is closer to being right at 18z than he was at 12z.

Maybe a bit over 1.5” here? Ha, those model runs with 0.30-0.45” QPF certainly didn’t happen here.

There are worse means for much of the forum.

Some light snow, half inch coating? Nothing to get too excited about, ha. Radar looks like a shredded mess. We’ll see if we can get 2” today.

Ground white with 2-6” for long stretches of time is apparently deep. November seemed white but no where close to deep… and somehow that low ratio, but solid QPF, snow event followed by a ZR event has kept a snowpack and banks. All we want is a net gain from this current event. Priorities are low. We aren’t swimming in snow.

Here’s BTV’s…

Gotcha ha. I thought it’d be one image but guess that’s big if they include CAR too.

Do they not include their NH zones?

00z HRRR went far north with a very blocked flow and snowfall upstream of barriers. It does make sense if it stays north and a bit more mild. The cold air advection in the lowest levels quickly deep into the western sides of barriers, aided by topographic slowing/convergence/lifting, can certainly favor those west of both of us. Depends on when the cold air gets situated. Pre-event CAA we are good on more eastern orientation… later in the event with shallow surface cold hitting first, anything northwest is best.

Yeah this is more of a boundary sags south, then stalls, as another shortwave rides the gradient. Not a true anafrontal situation for the jackpot zone (wherever it might be)… it looks to turn to snow for some latitude before the second energy moves through.

During one of the bursts of snow this afternoon... nice to see even if only a coating to an inch.

18z HRRR looked better too. Just another variation.

Heavy graupel and giant flakes.

Got some light snow and dippin dots falling at 1500ft. Mid-30s.

Every single business from here to Burlington is hiring. Every one. Ha.

There was a great article on the overall economy/service industry I had read that was showing another form of inflation is folks are charged the same prices but the service everywhere has declined across the board. Your money doesn’t buy the experience it used to. It’s not counted in inflation calculations but it’s there. Even 4-5 star hotels won’t give you daily housekeeping anymore…just don’t have the staff but they charge the same.

That 12z HRRR moved south and nicks us now.

6z Euro is real cold for Sunday. GFS and NAM tickled warmer.

Yeah I have no idea on the ICON scores but the NAM and GFS shifts were noticeable too. Might be able to score a net gain out of the cutter.