powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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The population affected is massive there. I mean 15 million people easy in that axis? I have no idea to be honest but that's as good a run as it gets for a big ticket shut down event for a LOT of humans. -
What a classic I-95 corridor, big city snowstorm on the EPS. 50-member mean just smoking the coastal plain and high population areas from PHL to NYC to HFD to PVD to ORH to BOS to PWM. Just a classic big deal impact axis there. KU style and high population areas affected.
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Great midweek afternoon on the hill. If there's one big difference from last winter, it's that midweek feels like midweek again. When people need to physically report to work and school Monday through Friday, it definitely is a different dynamic. Last winter was steady crowd levels 7 days a week, no real ebb or flow. This season it's big weekends and light volume Monday through Friday.
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That fizzled… maybe a quarter inch more? Good fluffer though just over 3”. Suns coming out now.
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All TWC talk in the other thread… this link has all the feels. Current weather run on old school Local on the 8’s. This is a Stowe screenshot. https://www.weatherdaddy.us/?q=Stowe%2C+VT
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That is mind blowing given how cold it’s been up north here this month. Tomorrow is another day with a high of like 5F and a low of -20F.
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All we ask for is a participation trophy. I’d take 3-6” and run. 12z EURO was the best, others get crushed but if we could snag 6-10” of mid-level goodies then that’s awesome.
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That’s the one! Big flake with his little friend.
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Hard to get a more forum wide look than that.
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Yeah you wait the whole local forecast just to see that one panel show snow. Then I’d go back to Sportscenter for Stuart Scott (RIP) before leaving for school lol. I think many of us snow weenies in the late ‘80s and ‘90s rolled that way between TWC and ESPN .
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Local on the 8’s… is it a big snowflake or a little snowflake.
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Deform all the way back here. Not bad.
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It’s odd, it’s sort of warm out with some dim sun. Snow is sliding off the sides of the cars and compressing. Up to 28F. 3” though on the flat surfaces. It’s that super clumpy fluff.
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I've got a good feeling about this given the snow in town on these light returns. Absolutely maximized dendritic growth. If we can get 30dbz in here I bet it'd be up to 2"/hr or even more. It's crazy how good it's snowing on these 15dbz returns. Can see moisture building west. Just measured a clean 3" so far.
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This is incredibly picturesque snow in town. Can't believe how hard it's snowing with very little radar return. Like a down pillow was ripped open. These flakes are like a half inch to an inch diameter. Some Hallmark movie sh*t.
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Looks like 2-2.5” of fluff in town. Trees are stacked.
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Yeah, the official ASOS sites have gone 2sm visibility at MPV and MVL…2.5sm BTV and 1.25sm SLK. East includes 9sm at BML and 10sm visibility at HIE. The larger scale lift moving eastward at the ASOS spots.
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Good diving shortwave with gentle WAA light snows trying to get going. Not going to amount to much but solid mood snows for some?
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Storm/individual/ensemble progs in the 950s to 970s, with the cold pattern pressing down/south… there’s going to be a gradient flow with that. It may not be a cold month in some parts of the northeast… but it’s been lurking nearby with solidly below normal in the means for parts of the North Country. A bombing low mixing with that persistent cold is a solid winter storm for someone. Wind and snow.
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I walked right into that... lobbed it up, damn. Well played
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Certainly not super happy about listening to folks from Boston talking about how much snow they just got while riding on the chairlifts, ha... just love the chase and what happens, happens. Even my wife wishes I would get worked up about some things... not dramatic enough .
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I guess what I was saying is in a 4-5 day lead time, even with a recent model run trend (one run really) that goes a certain way... if the aggregate trend over 24 hours is still in a westward lean/direction this far out in time, we can build on the positive trend. In the final 36 hours we can still have a move as big as the one at 6z and 12z from the previous day/evening... everyone just needs to keep it in striking distance.
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It's possible the previous 12-18 hours of runs were a bit of a burp and this keeps on being like yesterday's model runs. Off-shore with E.NE in that cold conveyor belt... instead of the couple runs of highly amped members. Who knows, should be fun tracking. If we go back to yesterday's runs and look at 18z ensembles today, it's still a positive trend but not as drastic as 6z/12z today.
