powderfreak

Feels very old school. I like it. We all remember when it was pretty much illegal for Mets to spell out a full word in AFD's... the NWS back in the 1990s and early 2000s had nary a vowel to be found. Miss that, ha.

It will. There will be some Jan 2010 event again with 20-40 inches of blocked flow at the eastern lake shore. It's weird that an "upslope" event was actually BTV's largest snowstorm on record I believe with 36". There have been a few times since I've moved here full time in 2006 that the Champlain Valley has actually jackpotted on an "upslope" event with maritime moisture, cyclonic NNW winds and severe veering aloft that blocks the flow up to the lake shore.

Does that tactic work elsewhere? I'd be happy to answer any questions about snow up this way... depends on how much it matters too because I can tell you anywhere up and around the mountains will be a lot snowier than southern CT on the whole. Consistent snow cover, better arctic air masses, etc. There are so many microclimates you may not know about one until you move there. If you want a true weenie heaven, check out the Alpine Haven neighborhood near Jay Peak. I've known two people who live in there and I have to imagine that is one of the snowiest spots in New England. Nestled in a valley at 1,400-1,800ft right along the spine. They get a stunning amount of snow just off the fabled RT 242 and even radiate at night. Never really knew about that neighborhood until I started seeing friends posting photos on FB who live there. They definitely get more snow than the base of Stowe at 1,500ft IMO. It's just a pocket in a gap and you don't need to be rich to live there, pretty sweet. And if you want to go for a weenie drive, the road goes up over 2,000ft within two miles. If I was to pick one weenie spot in VT right now, that's it. Until I find the next best spot .

18z GEFS max snowfall zone goes right through us on that run. The GEFS has been north of the OP for several runs now as there are members that think we may even been too far south… so the mean between southern members like OP and the members thinking it rains well up north goes right through us.

The chickens drowning in snow.

That's a decent difference too with the wave. Absolutely croaks RT 2 in Mass and into NNE. Greenfield to HubbDave to Ray and up to Dendrite is 14-16". 12z vs. 18z at the same time:

That’s the fear for sure that it goes back to more of a cutter.

Yeah if this is before the synoptic wave moves through would be nice.

If anything the EPS is further north than 6z on the 12z run. Keeps Phin and I barely in the southern snow zone in the mean... but definitely more NW members keeping the main snow axis in the St Lawrence River Valley.

And N.VT feels snowy again in comparison! . That is pretty rough but at least out there if it doesn't snow it's not like brutal cold and the sun is probably out 98% of the time. Probably like a month of skiing like VT gets in the spring.

It's like Will Ferrell in Blades of Glory when he's hammered drunk doing the kids' ice show wearing a costume, all depressed, crushing kid's dreams and rambling until he pukes.

Ha right, you can use any perspective to shape your mindset. I mean can also pull up photos of like Lake Tahoe's big storms earlier this season and be like "wow, it sucks where we live, just never snows and it's all just nuisance level snowfall." Tippy can probably explain the psychoanalyst side better .

Slurring on the morning snow report, mumbling and rambling incoherently haha.

I just pull up the daily snow tally for the mountain for 2015-2016 and everything is much better in the world. Once broken enough you don't get it back, ha.

Haha it’s true too. Can find positives in anything if you look at it. My wife hates it… like I’m glad the flat tire hit in a beautiful scenic part of the road honey… “at least we get to enjoy this view for a while!” Some people have it, some don’t.

Ha we get snow on that run, GEFS look good. High probs for 6+… what more can we ask?

We were chatting about 2018-19 earlier this morning at the ski area and man, what a monster snowpack winter for the mountains. Just deep from November onward. Only 5 more feet on the ground on this date a few years ago.

Yeah I thought that was sort of a win for the GFS. The EURO was trying to bring a monster slug of 1" QPF (like the NAM) in 6 hours all the way into your area and central Mass on a couple of those runs. It even had a run with like 0.40" QPF back here.

I'm super impressed at the departures up here. It's seemed like a lot of radiational cooling nights but the fact that well-mixed BTV has the largest temperature departure up here shows that it was some legit arctic air masses. January departures so far of BTV at -6.6F and MVL at -5.9F. Burlington trying to nudge closer to a -7F monthly is insane given that sites warm tendencies.

Hit -10F and then rose to a balmy -7F.

I think it would be difficult to hold onto long term icing except in a very narrow zone... the boundary needs to stall out and I'd think the depth of the cold would try to keep getting deeper north of the boundary pushing p-type to sleet. Rain, briefer ZR, then a bunch of sleet seems like it would be the path except for maybe a narrow battle ground?

6z GEFS snow probabilities. What a winter for synoptic snows in Buffalo area, they are pegged for like 10-18” again on some of these runs.

BTV is -6.6 for the month! That is incredible for the Champlain Valley, especially at a site that has been warm in many recent years this decade. The average temperature in this January has been 14.3F in Burlington, the large valley market brings numbers.. The North Country has been cold.

Another sub-zero evening for heating interests in town. -4F at MVL and the closest station. This has been one cold January.

Some may laugh, but anytime someone in the forum gets smoked it's a good thing. Misery doesn't love company. Good people are easy to root for. Hopefully there's a way we can get snow and down south can get an ice storm or flash freeze ending as snow to keep the wintry vibe going region wide. We watch this one... long way to go and getting back to weather, I still worry the wave amps up and spreads mixed precip/rain further north than the current mid-range model runs. The next 48 hours should give us a better picture but still 84 hours until any overrunning precip approaches New England from the NW.