powderfreak

Lol, this is the aftermath of every SNE coastal… the confidence and wondering if they want to allow another area the right to get a snowfall. Taking fun shots at posters like Phin, myself or JSpin. Kings sitting on thrones at the top of their driveway piles, still not sure if they want to watch the village peasants have any fun .

It’s easier to believe in a storm if you don’t see the model runs . Mo’ data mo’ problems.

Yeah and the EPS came in with us on the southern side of it... the snow axis in the means is definitely north and up the St Lawrence Valley.

Way out in time but you don’t get this model consistency out of a coastal storm… it’s actually fairly ridiculous how clustered the 12z runs are. It’ll change but wild too see *that* much consistency. There will be some precip event in the northeast late week. GFS/EURO/GGEM/ICON even onboard.

Hopefully it holds at least in the colder trends... sometimes I feel like we see these mid-range burps where the boundary presses a lot further south and then in the end the system essentially resembles a cutter even up here. I mean it was a straight St Lawrence Valley rainer at day 7-10. We are getting some sag now but how much of it is real is the question and at Day 2-3 is it congrats interior Ontario lol.

The ECMWF definitely has had some rough times this winter which is sad to see from the King.

We watch. With coastals the risk is always too far east... with these it's that it turns into a cutter like it was modeled a few days ago. We've had some big snows in the past decade though from sagging frontal boundaries that get just far enough and then have a wave ride along them after a bunch of overrunning mixed precip.

Are you on the injured list Diane!? Say it ain't so.

It takes a while to shake the southern mentality. I still occasionally remind myself this is not the Hudson River Valley near Albany. Maybe it snows like 4-6 feet in April like 2007, ha, plenty of time left. Nice day out there today though!

Haha we laugh but you know it happens. Looking at nearby snowfall totals and then “estimating” a total.

Scattershot... snow axis from north of the St Lawrence Valley all the way down to the south coast.

Here it was 0F at 5:30am and -9F at 7:50am, ha. What a frigid month of January.

That pic from ETaunton snowblowing yesterday looked legit 30"+ and pretty evenly landed across his landscape there.

Lol good luck with a snow total there.

Yeah I bet any conservative measuring might play into totals too. I just think all these photos have like 10” ranges just looking at them that could be “believable” amounts. Anything near a house looks jacked up a bit, but out in a field is likely scoured some. I find at the mountain the official snow plots can be underwhelming in large windy snows. Like it “seems like” 18 inches only to find 13” packed in.

Wind? Everyone of the photos I keep seeing look crazy to measure. I bet you could send 12 people outside to the same area to measure and get 12 different amounts varying by 4-8”. I mean just looking at the pics DIT posted, good luck. It’s probably 8-18”.

All we got up here was an arctic sand dusting and a bunch of twigs, pine boughs and debris on the snow surface from last night's wind.

Ah nice to wake up and read a couple pages of everyone trying to steal each other's snow. Should be a fun week .

Vacation land. Winter vibes.

Only a dusting this evening in Stowe. Just arctic air moving through the ski town. Great winter sunset as earlier mentioned.

Still some CCB signs in that along with mid-level deformation banding? Strong lift, dynamic. There are a couple things going on there it seems... what a fascinating radar between ORH and BOS. Moving ENE very slowly.

I won't lie, I text that to a few folks in the ski industry. Taunton, MA. January 29, 2022. That pic verifies accumulations. Best one of the storm.

Measuring snow in the photos everyone has shown looks extremely tough... the drifting, wind lips everywhere. Stuff blown off roofs, cars, decks... basically the snow fills all low lying areas. What a look. Once it goes over 16-24" it becomes hard to tell what's what IMO. That's a lot of snow moving around. A lot of long time posters on the various forums got absolutely smoked today. It read like an old thread and why folks tune in to this type of coverage for an event. Someone needs to go for a Jeb walk in the snow with Jebman posting.

This band down I-95 in Maine seems truly stalled. It's weakening but also constricting. It's narrow but there has to be 4"/hr falling out of that given the thermal profiles in the DGZ and resulting fluff factor. That interstate has to be brutal navigating right now.

And you said over-performer… trust your gut instinct original call, haha.