powderfreak

Phin sees warning criteria there on that run.

Yeah in the more blocked flow events the west side areas can pack more fluff in for sure. Personally I also think wind plays a big role as well as ratios… blocked flow can lead to more wind on the east slopes and there are many events where I think total QPF is the same but west slope spots are dead calm with larger flake growth and the east side is wind-packed smaller flakes. That leads to more inches west but the same snowpack water on both sides. You could spread 1.0” QPF across the Green Mountain Spine and see snowfall vary from 10-20” just based on wind and flake size. Gusty winds, shattered dendrites and ground packing, vs Champagne Powder fluffing up nicely in a calm environment.

Phin might be near warning snows on that… might sneak into it on that prog. Tamarack and Kuligan.

0/-4… brrrr.

Saw this from Stowe Hollow which is actually away from the Spine, video showed steady snowfall still before sundown. 8.5” on ground is decent from this one about a mile away lol. I’ve only got 7” after an inch today.

BTV’s map of totals. AWT with basically 4-8” state wide and low ratios. Eastern slope in CVT with best on blocked SE flow.

That’s awesome. 6” here. Lower Village guy had 5.5” on 0.65” water… which is an 8.4 to 1 ratio. Right in line with the ratios expected. No upslope fluff. Healthy QPF dump.

Lol that map isn’t even close. About 6” here. Nice snowfall event with decent QPF. It’s winter again. Looked very similar to NH and ME.

Backside snow moving through now. Looks so wintry outside again finally after the last week.

Yeah you guys have that stuff building over by I-88 west of ALB… got some snow to go.

Awesome shot. The vibe changes quickly with a nice moderate snowfall this time of year.

Took the dog out for her evening walk and saw the snow depth stake showing 5” but after measuring on the elevated board it’s 4.3”. That’s the difference between measuring on grass vs flat firm surface, ha. A good, dense synoptic snowfall that is inside the forecast range expected. Should be able to add 1-2” to that overnight as flow goes NW and likely be in a 0.50-0.60” water range? Looks and feels much more like winter. Will ensure a White Christmas given the thicker synoptic density.

Something just changed… snow growth got big. First real flakes.

You keep asking this… what did I miss?

No surprises. Playing out almost exactly as though. I think it’s called AWT? The ski trails need a good shot of QPF regardless of inches of snow, ha.

That seems about the same here… 3.5-4” eyeball but man it feels like more liquid than that. I was going to guess 0.40”+ QPF and under 10:1. All small dense flakes but definitely water in there.

Good lord, what’s happening in here. Christmas trees getting lit on fire by some? Snowing hard now. 2-3” very dense inches. Lots of QPF in this. Flake size just got much better. Bulk here was 6-10pm I think so should be getting into it.

You’re on the east slope there in CVT right? Models really like that blocked SE flow into the Greens. 18z NAM family:

Steady light snow and better flakes after an hour or so of tiny flakes.

We are in agreement. 3-7” or 4-8” splitting hairs. Maybe a spot 8 or 9” Killington/Sugarbush at high elevation where they do SE blocked low level flow well. Ludlow/Okemo too.

Models haven’t changed in days it seems. Not much to talk about. If one came out congrats Montreal or congrats ORH, then it’s probably discussed. I’d say if you see something worth mentioning, drop it in. We all know we are checking them out.

Cooled off real nice since yesterday. High of 46F yesterday and sitting 28/17 now, wet-bulb in mid-20s. Nice cold air drain.

Not much to add to the 18z EURO. Event has seemed locked in, I’m not sure I’ve seen as consistent a run of QPF progs as the past two days… every run is within a tenth or two of the previous runs for like 8-10 model cycles. I still think it’s a bit over done but it’s just so consistent in the 0.5-0.75” range for a wide area every single run.

Yeah it must be about to snow in NNE lol.

Still like a general 3-7” for NNE… liked that two days ago and still like it. Maybe a lolli to 8” somewhere near Dendrite? But overall it’s been or seemed to be a pretty easy forecast north of the mix line.