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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. This is where RH and not temperature comes into the C.O.C. discussion. Been rotting around 70F all day in rain and despite the lower temps, it’s near 100% RH and nasty out. Much grosser outside today than a 85/48 type afternoon.
  2. Agreed.... probably get like 0.40" water in like 5 hours of -RN and then get 0.50" in like 20 minutes of convective moisture evac from the atmosphere, behind this slug of warm frontal precip.
  3. I see they even hit 77F briefly. That's got some oof to it.
  4. Just a gentle soaking rain so far. Running like 0.08/HR type -RN rates. Rare synoptic mid-July rainfall.
  5. There's a solid moisture plume punching well into New England in the lower levels. Dews are going to go up, along with PWATs It can turn tropical in a hurry as the fluidity of the atmosphere comes and goes like the tide.
  6. Some synoptic rain coming up this way, with mixed convection. The chance is there for a widespread 0.50" soaking on the 00z 3km NAM across the NW half of NE.
  7. 70/63. It’s warm and humid. Probably A/C time tonight. Max of 88F today at MVL. That’s a solid heater. Dews were in the 50s so it felt ok until this evening when the attempt to radiate has propped dews up.
  8. Biggest I’ve ever seen easily. 3-4 feet tall when on all fours and it’s stomach pretty much went to the ground. Paws were massive mits. I read the black bear in Eastern US can get up to 500-600lbs? Seemed like a lot but this guy was at least four bills. Sort of crazy though to have some 400+ pound wild animal wandering in your backyard. This one was on another level… no adolescent mischief. I was going in his direction and he wanted to pass me, so he just sat down while trying to figure out what to do, ha. Walked away along the field edge, but passing by. Felt like a zoo animal was loose in the backyard.
  9. Yeah it’s getting a bit dewy. Had a low of 55F and now the dews up to 61F. The moisture is coming. Interesting synoptic system tomorrow evening.
  10. Was just thinking of your “rains every day” comments… big outdoor concert at Spruce Peak, whole thing set up for 600-800 people, linens on tables, chairs, etc. And the sky just unloaded water out of no where. Now they are scrambling to change out everything, just soaked after +RN.
  11. Another day with many sites in C/NNE seeing RH under 35-40%. 84/53 up here for 34% but winner looks like Newport, VT with 82/47 for 29%. MHT 85/53 for 33%. In SNE, there’s LWM at 87/55 for 33% RH, BED at 86/56 at 35%, FIT at 83/51 at 33%. Might be a bit before we get back to these levels, but the past 2-3 days have been nice. Can see the dews starting to move in from the south, CT and SE MA looked more humid today than elsewhere.
  12. Had a low of 50F, comfortable sleeping weather looks like it’s on its way out. Windows cool the place down to the low/mid 60s but looking like we’ll have to artificially cool it off soon. Already 70/55.
  13. A little excitement this evening right before the sun went down. This absolute unit of a bear strolled through the backyard. We see bears but this might've been the biggest yet. It was close enough, and chill enough, to be able to get the real camera. Could've rode this guy like a horse.
  14. Appreciate the research and info using data. Puts some of the hyperbole in context. Still sucks if it’s torching your lawn but it seems to happen quite frequently during hit or miss precip patterns in the warm season.
  15. 79/48 here. BTV with 82/43 and 25% RH looks like the Chamber jackpot. Edit: Looks like FIT is 84/43 for 23% RH. That's the spot.
  16. That was a warm/hot 12z GEFS run in the long range. Summer coming.
  17. Not the first time in the past few weeks that someone, even a lurker, has made a comment about the lack of any desire to have an actual meteorological discussion on here. Hope it doesn’t come off as being a d*ck but the head in the sand stuff makes it like why even bother discussing trends and models. The heat and dews are coming, modeling agrees on that for the first time all summer there isn’t a cP shot out of Canada modeled after a couple hot days. This upcoming stretch will have some legs with heat/humidity that we haven’t seen yet.
  18. You can only bang your head into a wall so many times. Just the inability to have an actual discussion about obs/models will drive anyone crazy that actually likes meteorology.
  19. Not bad. Some remember that as 30s and 40s but beer will do that. Guess we learn yet one more time that modeling often wins over sweat lodge vision-quests.
  20. Definitely a warm look out there. Days 4-8 here. Thought not sure why one would use the GFS Ensembles for anything after they've been getting tossed and confused for the last two months.
  21. We all know he’s really enjoyed some of these beautiful days but just can’t bring himself to say it on here. Needs to stay on-brand.
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