powderfreak

Overall models did very well with a widespread 1.5”+ rain event in N/C VT with a good swath of 2”+ and locally up to 4”. And we should have some left over rain showers tomorrow too, but likely more in line with 0.1-0.3”. Three day rain event overall. Good soaking. I can’t remember the last time I saw the river “full”… not close to flooding at all but just full swift water from side to side.

Good catch, upgraded the Flood Warning to FFW? On Wunderground there are a lot of 3”+ amounts since midnight that doesn’t include anything yesterday.

There’s a swath right from Huntington through J.Spin through Waterbury (your area) over towards Cabot and south into Montpelier of widespread like 2.5-4.00” event totals. I was at 2.16” a little bit ago total. Missed the heaviest stuff today like 10 miles to the south. Can see the axis here:

Still could moderate for sure, but Ryan is just being a good MET and not going wild on a Day 5. Mid-60s in the valleys gets the point across after today. Highs will be lower than todays dew points in CT.

Be a stretch for you to hit 66F at your house on Friday given how it looks right now. I’d think low 60s at best, 40s at night. It could be enough for some to see the heat come on.

He knows exactly what/where Ryan’s forecast is aimed at, ha.

Emptied 1.62” out of the stratus this afternoon, and there’s another 0.55” so far. Storm total from yesterday and today of 2.17” so far.

Conceptually, warmer more humid air would bring more rainfall. Anything to back up that it’s been more Stein?

Yeah I love winter but that first 70F sunny, dry day in Spring is like euphoric.

It’s possible to like something and also like change… but it’s funny as a forum we have like “team” mentality about preferences lol.

BTV AFD feels it. They know their audience up here more than anything else, ha. “The aforementioned showers could easily continue into the evening and overnight hours which could pose an interesting forecast challenge. Snow. Yes, you read that correctly. Given 850 mb temperatures could be in the -4 to -6 range with mountain showers, we still believe there is a chance for some light snow above 3000 ft. Don`t break out the skis or snowboards just yet as it`s unlikely we see any accumulation at the higher peaks given the warm ground temperatures. It`s more a sign of the seasons changing than anything else. &&”

60F and rain. 0.40” so far today.

Yeah no argument on the drama aspect. The trade off to a daily game for 6 months vs. once a week for 4 months is the added drama and physicality of the sport. Football is a very fun for betting and it’s ability as a fantasy sport is unmatched. I enjoy sports a lot, weather and sports. Baseball and football is basically like persistent daily -SN vs. one sustained, congealed period of accumulating snow. They both have their place. 62/62 dripping, misty fog hanging in the backyard. Humid but cool.

Oh absolutely. Not feasible.

Every single night. For hours. All you can eat buffet, always games on of most teams, can flip between games, it’s like Sunday football but all the time. Football would be sick if you didn’t have to wait a week to get it again.

Wish they played more than once a week. 0.92” so far today.

Nice meso-low swirl on radar just went south of Montreal and is now entering N.VT by Jay Peak. Harder to see on this regional radar but the path of that swirl looked to drop a lot of water. Torrential rain in it.

Me too. Everyone gave him no shot at the start of the year and he’s like I’m Albert F*cking Pujols.

Many of us are already well pickled.

Yeah I feel like there's been more gun violence in the news... usually in the North End. City Hall Park was a place not to go even when I was at UVM back in like 2005. I've yet to see anyone shooting up heroin and even though Church Street has always been a magnet for homeless folks panning for money, it definitely has increased. Recently the city has evicted several high profile homeless "camps" north and south of the city where dozens of people would live in tents and there'd be occasional crime there (stabbings or mental illness psychotic stuff)... the city evicted the largest camp last fall. So where do they go? They end up in places like City Hall Park and other zones in the city. I mean, I'm not quite sure what they expected to happen... you had a few of these "communities" scattered about in the woods along Lake Champlain. Remove them and those people are still homeless and will just move to another area, which seems inside the core of the city now.

That first round of rain did pretty good here. 0.61" at my place. Got very lucky with a swath of embedded +RN that moved through north of BTV into Underhill, Mansfield and eastward through Stowe. North and south of that looked more like 0.15-0.35". We'll see what the next couple days bring, models generally have around 2" forecast.

Some heavy rain at times. That was a quick 0.60”+ in two hours.

66/63 dews are up. Showers already. Going to be a wet next 36-48 hours. GFS and NAM.

It’s called fake cold. Unless you are out in it. Then it’s real. The shadows overtake a valley, and the bottom drops out.

18z doubles down on the cold shot at Day 5-6. 0C 850mb down into DCA and BWI neighborhood .