powderfreak

I swear the NWS offices troll DIT. Why else add this at the end. Longer term...it still looks like NECONUS stays away from Central CONUS heat ridge with northern stream still trying to influence our weather pattern. &&

Five days until it mild downs again.

Awesome Ginxy. Dogs adapt so well and are happy while doing it. Mine got follow up x-rays 6-weeks after surgery and should be back to hiking in August.

Everything’s been on track since April. Some summer in July. 75/55

Comes pre-cooked.

You throw them out there, I bite. The hyperbole is a trigger . There's data to discuss. Remember back in the day, all posts would include some critical analysis. Personally, I think the long term is a hot/humid period breaking off from the central US ridge. It'll flow through toasty, and then a FROPA will cool/dry things out again. But not as much (step-up)... after that it gets hot and humid for a good period in the means. "Cold frontal passages" will wash out and weaken as we get into peak climo time for heat. You're going to get some good humidity coming, at the very least in waves. It's the climo time of year. Time-to-swim afternoons, pool, lake or river?

Going to need more of these loops. The fluidity in the atmosphere is great in high-speed. That is pretty sweet on a meal-scale level. Wall of moisture rolling in waves and trying to overwhelm the area, and met with some resistance from the NE.

That’s a map of 850mb temp anomalies. No dews on there. What it’s showing is another trough in the means swinging through behind the FROPA on Thursday. The EPS has it too, if we want to go the more data-based route over gut intuition. We can only make claims as well as the data presented at the time. It certainly will be hot and humid Tue/Wed as the TV graphic showed.

Probably dewy straight through Christmas if we are going the route of hyperbole. You almost wonder if it’s just a straight 365 day stretch to be honest.

You gotta enjoy the dry weather though… plans never impacted by rain. Pristine evening wandering around the hills right now.

Yeah 12z GEFS were warmer again. Everything shifted a bit eastward it looked like.

Touché, ha.

Looks like the 6z Ensembles disagreeing with the OP probably foreshadowed that a bit. EPS was a warm look so see if that continues at 12z.

Of course the 12z GFS goes to deep trough and Canadian High building in post 300hr when it was printing 100s at 6z. The ensembles hadn’t bought into the heat so we’ll see. It has to get hot at some point. Persistence?

The deform band of drought. Hoping for an H6 surprise up this way.

The bear population has to be exploding. I think they say it isn’t, but less hunting, more posted land (less huntable land), milder less severe winters, etc. There are some factors out there that argue for a robust bear population. Honestly seems like there are more bears than deer.

Just looking through things and definitely differences between that GFS OP and GEFS out there long range. OP is a furnace. GEFS mean keeps weak troughing NW flow in the means.

108/82 max/min is awesome

It’s true. We all know it. No one robs Peter to pay Paul. It just is a shorter season.

It has to be painful to box yourself into a spot where you can’t post that you enjoyed a day or had fun, etc unless dew points are high. Not even temperatures, he’s created his summer brand that he literally can’t post anything positive unless dews are over 65F. Its gotta be hard for such an upbeat dude. He’s going to explode with posts like heavy rhea when he finally can, ha. No reason to create a competition out of it, if you enjoyed a days weather… just let it rip. 48F last night for the min here.

Yeah looks like there’s a heater that moves through, before the SE Canada trough squashes it down again for 3-4 days. It’s a solid hot interlude, with another refreshing Canadian shot behind it. I think the July 20th+ stuff has legs for finally being a sustained HHH period. A large part of the country has been baking. We’ve been able to keep it to a minimum but sooner or later, AGW is going to roast us for a sustained period.

He loves it. It’s been so nice out, he’s not posting about drought. The citizenry loves dry warmth/heat. Drier, sunny days with maxes in the 70s and 80s make people feel that dopamine rush. We’ll also get summer at some point and the novelty will be fun.

It’s coming at some point. We won’t fight off the central US ridge all summer. Once that SE Canada trough relaxes, or even blinks, it’ll get hot. Sort of like even largely crap winters often have a 4 week period of decent chances. It may be short or hangs on the second half of summer, hard to say. The winter equivalent is sort of like seeing some signs of sustained change around MLK weekend or late January. We’d hope February into March is winter…. That’s what HHH fans are hoping, that August into September is a sustained stretch. Not the worst thing to have some of that show up for a bit for the variety.

GFS still going deep cool pool out through Day 8-12. But for the first time in like a month there are changes at the end of the run 300+ hours out. Tossing @Damage In Tollanda bone because some of us are unbiased observers… first look this entire summer that the model allows a piece of the Midwest heat to break off and travel into New England by around July 20th. Just in time for some summer HHH.

Hours later I still can’t stop watching this . Good thing they have video to present the car insurance adjuster with or the negligence case.