powderfreak

Going to Long Island Wednesday morning ugh, ha. Man what a day today… they let employees ski while Patrol does hill clean up. Did a full overnight groom and it’s like Yellowstone Club out here. Employees only and Quad spinning with perfect corn.

I like 3-6” for N.Greens early Tuesday morning with the warm conveyor belt lifting through… then dry slot, rain/mixed and some mid/30s dripping. Ending with 1-2”… 4-8” above 1500ft with mix/mild in the middle.

Easter Sunrise Service from the top of the Gondola this morning... into the Mtn Ops office at 3:45am but the sunrise was worth it. Estimated about 500 people joined us. 22F and some wind, it felt like winter.

18z ECMWF couldn't be more on brand for this winter. Low tracks up into NNH with best mid-level lift up eastern NY into the Adirondacks. Lows just want to cut inland this winter?

There are comments saved somewhere from WWBB… I’ll look for them. Maybe you were just trying to fit in. You asking folks why they enjoyed heat and humidity, because it just led to folks staying inside with AC. Drier air was better for outdoor activities.

Growing up, lol. I do think it's interesting to hear how all of our preferences have evolved over the long term... as there's a core of wx forum members going back two decades or more. We've all evolved in what we like at different times of years. Hell, DIT even used to troll people who wanted it hot in the summer.

Buddy in Killington getting healthy snowfall. He’s at like 1900ft. A nice elevation to be at this week.

It will and it won’t. It’ll be elevation dependent. Will it rain to the picnic tables?

Yeah as we always talk about, 1500ft is usually a magic line around these parts in shoulder season. White rain at my house while plows clear paste a few miles up the road at the office. Those days are funny, leave work with a thick stack of snow caked on the SUV and park it in the driveway with no snow to be seen.

Not uncommon for the mountains to randomly see their largest storms of the year in the bookend seasons fall/spring. Big wet systems with plenty of moisture.

If one gets under a CCB or deform band yeah, but 925 temps don’t scream valley snow with moderate precip rates. If precip rates are tipping 0.1-0.2”/hr that can definitely lower snow levels for sure. 1000-1500ft is a fairly regular level of demarcation.

I’d remove all of it from the Hudson to Champlain Valleys, and CT River too, ha. This is where it gets to mesoscale model range and those snow maps on 3km NAM look like a topographic map from 1500ft on up.

Snowing down through the base area at 1500ft this morning .

I think 1500ft has potential for some white, but 2000-2500ft or higher looks like the elevation based on 925mb temps in the means. The seasonal tenor probably leads the way… pasty snow at the picnic tables, sloppy white in the lower/mid slopes, rain in the valleys.

Are you heading back north for this one? Or monitoring floating in the pool in MD? Tell the wife there's a heating problem, need to go check on it . Mitch at over 2,000ft in SVT gets crushed on that run. Remove all the snowfall below like 1500ft on this map and go from there.

Don’t want to tread into COVID discussion but some of you may remember my soon to be brother-in-laws father was hospitalized for COVID over a year ago. He coded out a few times and really didn’t look like he’d make it. He finally returned home after 13 months in the hospital. We are going down to Long Island for my sister’s wedding next week and are all beyond happy that he will be able to attend. https://longisland.news12.com/we-didnt-think-he-was-going-to-make-it-west-islip-man-returns-home-after-13-month-covid-battle

The Euro track would be par for the course this year… inland cutter up the CT River Valley into NNH. The Adirondacks have a good shot in this one seeing the low elevations are like 1500ft with many inhabited areas 1800-2200ft.

Yeah I mean never root against it. @ORH_wxman always brings the logic, if the choices are cold rain vs snow that’s an easy choice. Like when folks say they don’t want it to snow… 42F heavy rain doesn’t sound any better lol.

Air mass must be super dry. Just had snowflakes flying at 3,500ft with a temp of 48F. Tons of virga all around and high winds materialized out of no where.

Looking at 925mb temps I’d wager it’s a 1500-2000ft and higher event. I post the clowns but with it in mind that the actual surface stations aren’t seeing that but the ski areas might.

Interesting…GFS/GGEM/EURO.

Got into the 60s today... now 45F and dropping fast. Cold front through. Dropped 7F in past hour. 30s by morning, snow should crisp/freeze up at the ski area as we go into the final weekend of the season.

Ha dammit, it didn't snow a foot today. Maybe you aren't the force we joke about . It has been a fairly impressive stretch without true widespread plowable snowfall from 1,500ft and below. Especially over there and into Maine where CAD and spring coastal storms are more likely. Even here, zero synoptic snow in what has been weeks, even at higher inhabited elevations. This winter has had some very long stretches without significant or even plowable snowfall. Some years 1,500ft still has very a healthy snowpack in mid-April.

The real question is when do you go back to Maryland? It will probably snow a foot the day after that, ha. I'm with you though. I'll enjoy snow to ski on while there's still some base left but if I had the choice (none of us do lol) I'd go 70F with low dews and red flag fire warnings this time of year.

Full mast in the sun and warmth for sure, ha.