powderfreak

High of 52F in the valley at MVL (but many of the PWS are 46-50F), never got out of the 40s at 1500ft (45F currently)… and can still see ice on the trees up high. Seasons changing. Crazy the top has been sub-freezing all day, no recovery at all.

Just heavy icing above 3,000ft. A healthy 1/4" of clear ice on the picnic tables. 30F and wind chill in the teens. The plants are likely done, ha.

39F and rain at parking lot. 31F and freezing rain up top.

Yeah Sugarbush and Whiteface so far for flakes.

Haven’t been able to confirm. Was clear ice freezing drizzle around 8am. No flakes reported.

I’m lazy and eyeball until I empty… it isn’t hard, you’re right ha.

I will say a Stratus doesn’t give you the constant updates you get electronically with a PWS. Most of the time it’s a light on and an estimate from a distance inside. Eyeballing the Stratus in the garden from the porch until you go out the next day to actually empty it.

Quite the overall pattern change from the dry summer months. “Drought” gets wiped out quickly in New England. Everyone’s wells should be healthy after the last several events. Rivers are flowing again. Standing water in low areas is back, water tables up.

Yeah it’s going to be close to see if snow levels can get down near 3,000ft. I think we lose the deeper moisture before snow levels get below 4000ft… should be left with super-cooled droplets and rime icing on the peaks as we dry out big time above like 6-7kft after midnight.

50F and waves of small droplet sheet rains when they move through. Feels like autumn.

And the mountains turn blue on the can, equally as hard to do.

I should’ve said bottled water .

Ended up with around 0.50” at home from the line this morning per the wife. Mountain base area station showing 0.85”. Plenty wet this week. Waterways are flowing as best as they have in probably 5 months.

All this beer spilled on a Florida highway this morning. Think of how many drunk posts that might have supplied the forum?

Looks like a widespread 0.50”+ possible on most models from Canada through the SNE Islands. Much different than the summer months of isolated events. The jet is active.

Yeah, I grabbed a quick hike to enjoy the two hours of sunshine before the next system moves in. It's that time of year where clouds often win out. Was a beautiful evening though, pretty warm for the time of year up high in the upper 50s when I was there. Interesting summit temps today... stuck in mid-40s under the inversion until this afternoon and then the right when it broke the temps shot up into the low 60s. Almost a 20F gain with the inversion breaking mid-afternoon.

BTV has some graphics in their Local Studies and also Event Summaries for upslope. Most of it is for the Greens but some of the stuff is more basic and could be applied elsewhere. This is one such study, the Froude study: https://www.weather.gov/media/erh/ta2015-05.pdf Blocked flow, critical flow, unblocked flow.

Beautiful now. Ha. Full sun and clear skies.

62/54 and OVC 021 Fail at a mostly sunny day with temps hitting the 70s. Maybe we get a late day bump from some clearing but it’s that time of the year where the inversion seems to win if moisture is trapped under it.

Almost melting steel with that heat index? That’d be a tough day.

Low cloud deck all day at the mountain. Low solar angle, little mixing. Moisture seems real stubborn. Not sure we go full sun. As Dendrite said, maybe like 6pm before sun goes down, ha.

Still low clouds, must and drizzle. Need sun. Not even cold either. 57F. Just stuck in no sun 55-65F purgatory.

Only around 0.15 here today after sunrise. Just an all day drizzle and mist that would occasionally hit -RN. It looked like areas southeast and southwest of here blossomed nicely with the ULL. 52-55F area wide in NW New England., with dews equal to temps… it’s still not fall/autumn cold even after the cold front.

Sorry to hijack the Tropical thread with snow stuff. I recognize it. That's step one to realizing you have a problem. This is the Mount Washington Avalanche Center advisory for 10/26/2005. It was mid-winter in late October 2005 for the mountains. 72" of snowfall on the month and 26" of water. Good grief. Hurricane Wilma injecting a trough with moisture... nor'easter crushes the mountains. 9:21 a.m., Wednesday, October 26, 2005 3 weeks ago I never would of thought our first 5 scale Advisory would start the season with such a bang. However, 27.5-inch (70cm)snowstorms with high winds can change conditions pretty quickly in the topography of the Presidentials. The summit just broke some significant records over the past 24 hours. First they have broken the snowiest October on record with 72.2" (183cm) and even more impressive then that they surpassed their wettest month ever with 26.79" (68cm)of water. This beat the great Feburuay of 1969, a winter of legend. I have never seen October storms make such an impact on the mountain. I always look forward to snow, but it could be a very long season. Maybe we'll break our record of 200 advisories out in one season. REMEMBER STRANGE ATYPICAL WEATHER MAKES STRANGE ATYPICAL AVALANCHES! Tuckerman and Huntington Ravines have HIGH avalanche danger. Natural and human triggered avalanches are likely on a variety of aspects and angles. Unstable slabs are likely and travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. As is typical during early season the variability of surface conditions and stability is great. Undoubtedly new snowfields have grown but are yet unseen due to whiteout conditions. So today's HIGH posting will have instabilities true to the definition. But these conditions aren't as widespread as a mid-winterstorm of 27.5 inches (70cm) when all snowfields are already established. There are numerous locations such as the top of Hillman's Highway that have unstable conditions, but have very limited paths established so avalanche activity will have short runs. Other areas like Left gully are just the opposite where full snow run-outs are already established. This means avalanches may run their full "mid- winter" distances. While in 5 scale we will issue a new Advisory daily while a General Advisory will be updated as needed. So check back daily. The 27.5 inches (70cm) of new snow on the summit fell over the past 30 hours and came in with a high moisture content melting down to 4.43 inches (11.25cm). This creates a high density average of 16% snow. As this slow moving Nor'easter moves up into the Maritimes today wrap around moisture will continue the winter storm warning for the mountains. Snow is expected to continue and turn upslope later and become more sporadic. Several more inches should be expected. Eventually later today winds will shift from the current NNE to the NW. When the shift begins it should proceed fairly rapidly as the nearby Low moves off to the NE. The GFS model has been fairly true and predicts this shift to occur early this afternoon around 1pm. The wind velocity which subsided overnight and have begun to pick up again. They are anticipated to be pushing 75mph (120kph) late in the day and should make things very interesting.

Hurricane Wilma pumped moisture into a strong upper level trough and dropped 12-24” across the Greens. October 2005 was a beast for snowfall and precip. This was like the 3rd snowstorm for the mountains. I skied Killington on opening day, with like 50 trails open on natural snow. Dense settled snow depths of 20-30” were present in late October at relatively low elevation.