To be honest it doesn’t matter lol. Just think it’s a marginal air mass, the 10:1 maps are over-selling it. In some cases pretty solidly over-selling it.
To me it depends on rates. 12-15” of 10:1 snow maps over 36-48 hours of “periods of snow” probably verifies as 4-6 inches on the ground when it ends.
If it’s 12-15” in 12-18 hours, it’s probably closer to that 10-12” on ground.
Agreed. 1,000ft is good but the lower elevations have had numerous storms where depth change nailed it pretty good. Especially up here with valley vs mountain ratios.
It’s been very good this season to be honest. Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events. The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.
Brattleboro is essentially Greenfield, MA like Hippy said. Literally the same exact climate in the CT Valley there at the MA/VT/NH borders.
Maybe even worse than Greenfield because it has slightly higher terrain east and west. Monadnocks on one side and the S. Greens on the other.
Basically comparing the CT Valley with the coastal plain… the northern MA coastal plain historically does better on deep layer east flow than the CT Valley in MA/CT. Climo wise it favors Essex and Middlesex counties over CEF/BDL/HFD.
Yeah, I want that energy and players to be onshore, on the field in data rich environments. Not saying it’ll happen but Day 5, thing could still bomb out and crush like central PA or go out to sea.
See I agree with you. I’d still stay climo that you want to be from you to ORH hills, Berks, and north in the usual interior elevations.
Of course a CCB like that is going to crush heavy wet snow to the surface but just go climo right now.
I don’t like when there’s like 20” of difference between 10:1 and the positive depth maps… but if it gets going like that it would rip deep wet snow to 50-100ft elevation.
Cant wait for the end of the first warm and dry 10-day stretch of the growing season, when folks are high-fiving over getting a brief soaking after setting annual water records.