nj2va

WWA posted for Garrett and western Grant counties. I assume Pitt and Charleston will follow for Canaan and Snowshoe. MDZ001-WVZ501-300100- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0026.231230T0600Z-231231T0000Z/ Garrett-Western Grant- 1158 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. The highest accumulations will be in western Garrett County and far western Grant County. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In West Virginia, Western Grant County. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow showers will increase in coverage overnight and continue through the day on Saturday.

Yeah, looks like a couple inches but 200+ hours out, I don’t really care what the snowmaps show. Just nice to see the threat at this stage.

Yep, absolutely. That map aligns well with the Euro which is generally 4-6” along the mountains from WV up to MD through New Years Day.

The first rule of the Panic Room, is you don’t talk about the Panic Room.

Currently 28 and woke up to a dusting of snow on the deck/roof/car. Forecast calling for 2-3” of upslope through Sunday AM (with more forecast Sunday night/overnight). Hopefully the snow showers and colder temps this weekend can help Canaan/Wisp salvage the rest of the holiday period.

Easier to get caught up in the doom and gloom.

I was exaggerating…I just don’t get the doom and gloom at December 28. Yes it sucks we haven’t had an area wide storm yet but I remain confident we’ll get snow this winter. We are literally a week into actual winter, lol.

Apparently it’s easier for everyone to freak out and claim it will never snow ever again.

Yes, if it shows digital blue, all will be fine again.

Holy moly, $46k? We replaced our existing wooden deck (that was part of the original build of the house in 2006) with a Trex deck this summer for ~$30k and it took 4 weeks to finish. We used a local contractor that came recommended to us from other contractors we’ve used for projects on our house. I think real estate is wildly overpriced here but its all driven by demand of the lake, Wisp, and four season activities. As long as rental demand continues to be high, prices won’t budge much. This is a pendulum so I do think eventually the market will saturate and/or a recession will hit that cuts back on second home/investment property activity and vacations. Even with the improvements we’ve made, we’d still make a hefty profit from what we bought at in 2016 with how high prices have ballooned. And its not just here - even Canaan has seen prices rise dramatically since covid.

That’s actually a really cool graphic, thanks for sharing.

Looking good!

You may need to head to Alaska.

It’s crazy how this is the 3rd year in a row with rain/mild temps in the mountains between Christmas and New Years. Hopefully the ski resorts can cash in over MLK and President’s Day to make up lost business.

Is this what happens when chat gpt tries to interpret weather models?

So far TSSN+ and Heisy have called winter over/are out. The list will be 10+ long by Jan 1.

Are we keeping a list of who have been reaped/cancelled winter? Might have our first with TSSN.

No, we could hit my totals with 2 bigger events. See no reason to change that.

This is just one small example but I’ve been paying close attention to snow in northern NH since we’re spending New Years up there. Euro keeps bouncing around nearly as much as GFS with handling features inside 100 hours up there.

Honestly, the GFS OP has been all over the place, even inside 120 hours, so to your point, no one should be writing things off based on OP runs. With so many vorts, I have a feeling we’ll be having things pop up in the medium term vs long lead threats - unless we get some insane blocking thanks to our (now cancelled?) SSW.

Can @pazzo83 and @WesternFringe take it to banter or just create a CC thread? FFS.

If you are solely looking for the most snow in the area, Snowshoe or Canaan would be that - I think both average about 150” a year. I spent my 30th birthday at Snowshoe (first and only time I’ve been there) and I enjoyed the village aspect of that a lot. Personally, I wouldn’t want a house there given the drive and lack of activities in the summer but it is very nice. Of the two, I would pick Canaan given the snowfall, WV state parks nearby, easier drive, and towns of Davis/Thomas. While Wisp/Deep Creek gets less snow (averages 110” in McHenry), we chose to buy a place here back in 2016 because it checked off the most boxes for us - high snowfall, year round activities, 3 hour drive, and a lake. It really is nice being here in the summer when it’s upper 70s with a lake to enjoy. We intended to rent this out but immediately found that we loved coming out here too much to rent it out. So we just use it for ourselves and host family/friends. I wouldn’t pick the PA ski resorts personally given the snowfall differences compared to western MD/WV. YMMV, happy researching!

I was about to call for a GFS upgrade to get it back into being a weenie model. Digital blue at HH, baby!

46 with light rain. A little over 0.3” in the gauge here in McHenry.

I may have been living under a rock but I just realized Weather Bell has soundings, including Euro out to 90 hours.