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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    What year was it that the pattern flipped in early January with an event that kicked off a heater for the rest of the winter? 2015? Kinda feels like we are heading that way (different patterns yadda yadda).
  2. nj2va
    GFS at least suggests the 500 vort passage next week will offer some upslope to the ski resorts in MD/WV and temps that support snowmaking heading into New Years.
  3. nj2va
    That second wave doesn’t have any NS interaction with the lobe over Canada. That’s probably a good thing for us on the coastal plain (hence your point about it maybe being the one ).
  4. nj2va
    Does that help reinforce the 50/50 lower heights?
  5. nj2va
    Save your knowledgeable, scientific analysis for another time. Let us all enjoy our foot+ of digital snowfall.
  6. nj2va
    Others may call it guaranteed
  7. nj2va
    Who will mention “but we don’t want to be in the bullseye this far out” first?
  8. nj2va
    Nice to see another OP run continue to show this window as a threat.
  9. nj2va
    That was perfect…plenty cold and solid moderate event for the region.
  10. nj2va
    Yeah, incoming blues imminent at H342. This period keeps showing up as potentially our first trackable event.
  11. nj2va
    For those looking for the digital blue fix, GFS seems to be setting up for the 5th/6th.
  12. nj2va
    Dude, legit laughed reading this thread tonight.
  13. nj2va
    That Leesburg 04 guy was a dumb dumb…you’re representing Leesburg much better.
  14. nj2va
    Can I complain about your complaining? And then you can complain about my complaining about your complaining? And then I can complain about your complaining about my complaining about your complaining? And then this forum will just internally combust.
  15. nj2va
    Yellows and blues in the right places.
  16. nj2va
    Fixed
  17. nj2va
    18z OP in la la land has a big storm in this time period with a sprawling High Pressure dropping in from Canada. Not worth parsing details that far out but continues to show the potential in the window even if the OP didn’t work out for us on this run. There’s a lot to like on the 500 map even though the vort went negative too soon. This could be our first discreet threat window to start tracking.
  18. nj2va
    The low pressure off the maritimes is so clutch for the MA - helps prevent the High pressures over Canada/Lakes from flying through where we’re completely banking on luck/timing. We have more ‘wiggle’ room in a 500 setup like that esp with the number of southern stream waves moving through. I know I’m a weenie but hard not to think we have an AN chance of snow the first week of January.
  19. nj2va
    BAM is terrible at seasonal forecasting. I’d rather post 12 year CPC maps than their crap.
  20. nj2va
    Talk about night/day from a similar period a year ago.
  21. nj2va
    Give me a big ol’ banana High.
  22. nj2va
    Here’s some that might pop up: -doesn’t look as good as a few days ago -can see the breakdown on the 800 hour CFS -March looks warm -MJO is dying -base state warmth
  23. nj2va
    So awful for the residents and ski areas. We’re supposed to be staying in Jackson over New Years.
  24. nj2va
    Uh oh, look at how hot Canada is. Maybe March will have a chance
  25. nj2va
    As much as I despise all Philly teams, I agree that the Eagles are a good team. They're still a team I wouldn't want to face in the playoffs.
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