nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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You forgot worrying about a new vort that popped out of nowhere in the SW USA thousands of miles away that is ruining snow in the mid-atl.
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Are we still worried about suppression?
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The map I posted above is it. 6” crosses DC on Kuchera.
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Spending too much time parsing the Canadian but interesting how more modest WxBell is
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Most likely a Wx Bell output issue. 850s are below 0 at Deep Creek throughout the storm. If the primary tracks into the OH Valley and ruins the mid levels, Deep Creek could mix. I’ve seen in these setups, unless the primary tracks well into the oh valley or the coastal is tracking over central VA, Deep Creek will stay snow. Deep Creek will stay snow in these setups while Snowshoe and Canaan may flip to sleet or rain given their higher elevation, depending on the setup.
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Zoomed in
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Gutentag. I like seeing that 6” line down in the Northern Neck, personally.
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Missing a few panels but doesn’t seem like there’s an OH valley low so I like that.
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2 days ago, this threat didn’t pop up on most people’s radars.
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We can start extrapolating the NAM this time tomorrow.
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What a game. Go UM
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Let’s go Michigan!
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GFS is slower than Euro. Gets precip into the southern parts of our area around 4p and into DC a bit before 7p.
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IMO snow depth maps are talked about too much. Just one tool to use but too much emphasis placed on those.
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They were making snow on a lot of runs that aren’t opened yet so I would think they’re getting ready to open additional runs this week - especially with the upslope later this week and the weekend potential. With the long range guidance, things should be great at the ski resorts throughout Jan/Feb.
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Good time to ski at Wisp right now with low crowds, natural snow, and cold temps.
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Yep, in spite of that OH valley low hanging on, shows we’re still in the game. Good run.
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That primary hangs on a bit too long over the OH valley. 95 changes over but just NW of the cities look to stay all snow. Also this thing now starts Saturday afternoon on the Euro.
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I like the look at H117. Low down near Tallahassee with a 1029 H over Canada. Classic confluence look at h5 over NE.
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UKMET has a 990 due east of ORF but temps are iffy east of the Blue Ridge. I haven’t tracked UKMET much to know how it does on thermals vs 500. Looks like a true Miller A track.
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“Purple has entered the chat”
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‘30 years ago it would have been 6-12’
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Considering the vibe was ‘winter cancel’ 2 days ago, it’ll be interesting to watch that same crowd react if this is “just” a 3-6” event.
