Juliancolton
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Everything posted by Juliancolton
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The first storm was the really destructive one around here - more tree damage imby than in the Octobomb, even with 1/2 to 1/3 of the total accumulation, depending on how often you measure. A couple of the 75+ year-old Norway spruces that used to have perfect Christmas tree shapes are now forever all straggly-looking. That was the one where I spent the night in Shandaken and nearly couldn't find a passable route home.
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Yup, doesn't matter what the numbers say if one knows what they narrowly missed out on.
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Did you fare any better with the next storm? I think that was more uniform across the area, but after a season or two, all except the most extreme weather events sort of blend together in my head. That was a good month up here, though... I went 9" - 15" - 6" (ish) with the storms on the 2nd, 7th, and 12th, then picked up another 4" toward the end of the month.
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This weekend's threat has shades of the first March '18 storm. Hopefully we tick a little colder than that ended up being.
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I'm going to pretend like this GFS run was the final word on next weekend and just go through the rest of the week waiting on my feet and feet for days and days.
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It was nice to have a relatively straightforward system for once. Of course there were the typical p-type and qpf questions, but like you say the synoptics had been pretty much pinned down for days in advance.
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Windy storms suck. Snowy trees are like 2/3rds of the aesthetic, so if you lose that, then meh.
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FWIW, here's the "low end amount" forecast from this morning. The frequency with which I get less or more snow than the worst- and best-case scenario maps, respectively, seems to suggest that the probabilities need fine-tuning. The difference between 2.8" and 3-4" is negligible, but still... the 'you will definitely get at least this much' amount should be lower in these situations.
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2.8" will do it here. Funnily enough that's exactly the number I had in mind this morning. I should have posted it! A few minutes of light sleet imby as well.
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Well, whether it be by changeover or shutoff, looks like most of us will be done with accumulations inside of 90 minutes. Fast-moving system with collapsing forcing mechanisms ftl.
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Pixie dusting my way past the 1" mark. Like pulling teeth...
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16/2F atm with the wind still out of the NE. Doesn't bode well for the conventional swfe wall of snow to start.
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Yeah, that's optimistic for northern areas. We're looking at a ~4-hour window for decent snow growth and there's no guarantee we utilize all of it. 2-4" is a safe call. As an aside, it feels like we've been waiting for this "event" for an eternity and it's still 48 hours out...
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Very much looking forward to another 2-3 months of a red tagger barking "you're wrong" at ppl without giving any reason why
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It's proper muggy out. Not "for January", not "compared to last week", but full stop.
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If the precip distribution and surface wind are favorable around daybreak Sunday, a run at 70F around daybreak wouldn't be totally out of the question. Crazy stuff.
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Sometimes plain-English terminology gets the point across adequately. You don't always need a turboencabulator.
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It's not exactly a new phrase. The "bomb cyclone" syntax has made occasional appearances in the MWR since the mid-80s, with references to meteorological bombs more generally going back even farther. The media sort of made a mockery of the term in the last couple years, but that's no fault of its own.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
Juliancolton replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Thanks guys, I'll check those out. My brother lives in Denver but is in Springfield for work one night next week, so I'm heading up to meet him for dinner. We're not typically the sort of guys who prefer one sort of food over another when browsing for places, so I leave my searches open-ended -
Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
Juliancolton replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
What's the best restaurant in/around Springfield? -
The folks hosting the party asked if I could be ready at 11 since people were getting tired... then they asked if I could be ready at 10. Everyone out the door and on their way to bed by 10:30. One thing about old folks is they know how to run NYE.
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Also, judging by the main discussion thread, the over/under for January is set at +15F. I'll take the over.
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Maybe the real good pattern is the friends we made along the way.
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Is such a thing even possible?!
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Imagine bitching about only getting one historic blizzard per year
