Juliancolton

It was nice to have a relatively straightforward system for once. Of course there were the typical p-type and qpf questions, but like you say the synoptics had been pretty much pinned down for days in advance.

Windy storms suck. Snowy trees are like 2/3rds of the aesthetic, so if you lose that, then meh.

FWIW, here's the "low end amount" forecast from this morning. The frequency with which I get less or more snow than the worst- and best-case scenario maps, respectively, seems to suggest that the probabilities need fine-tuning. The difference between 2.8" and 3-4" is negligible, but still... the 'you will definitely get at least this much' amount should be lower in these situations.

2.8" will do it here. Funnily enough that's exactly the number I had in mind this morning. I should have posted it! A few minutes of light sleet imby as well.

Well, whether it be by changeover or shutoff, looks like most of us will be done with accumulations inside of 90 minutes. Fast-moving system with collapsing forcing mechanisms ftl.

Pixie dusting my way past the 1" mark. Like pulling teeth...

16/2F atm with the wind still out of the NE. Doesn't bode well for the conventional swfe wall of snow to start.

Yeah, that's optimistic for northern areas. We're looking at a ~4-hour window for decent snow growth and there's no guarantee we utilize all of it. 2-4" is a safe call. As an aside, it feels like we've been waiting for this "event" for an eternity and it's still 48 hours out...

It's proper muggy out. Not "for January", not "compared to last week", but full stop.

If the precip distribution and surface wind are favorable around daybreak Sunday, a run at 70F around daybreak wouldn't be totally out of the question. Crazy stuff.

Sometimes plain-English terminology gets the point across adequately. You don't always need a turboencabulator.

It's not exactly a new phrase. The "bomb cyclone" syntax has made occasional appearances in the MWR since the mid-80s, with references to meteorological bombs more generally going back even farther. The media sort of made a mockery of the term in the last couple years, but that's no fault of its own.

The folks hosting the party asked if I could be ready at 11 since people were getting tired... then they asked if I could be ready at 10. Everyone out the door and on their way to bed by 10:30. One thing about old folks is they know how to run NYE.

It's been a while since I've seen so many different agencies submit their model runs to the CME scoreboard. The average arrival time prediction is early afternoon, because of course. https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/

Up to Kp 5 tonight on what I think is the anniversary of that pretty good March 2015 solar storm. Nothing on the Sebec starcam and bright moon for the rest of the night means it's probably a snoozer.

Won't all the rain just wash away the dust? Think of all the effort that could be saved

This one has legs I think.

Probably a 175 kt super typhoon in the PHP.

It sounds like you have your bases pretty well covered! Yeah, handling the plants is a big contributor to spreading the fungus higher, especially if there's a lot of moisture around. At some point you just have to do what ya can and hope for the best. I neglected to get the first Sevin application out early enough this year, and lost a number of cucurbits to the beetles almost overnight. They seem especially bad in my area this year.

Early blight is pretty much impossible to completely stave off, but you can certainly delay the onset and slow spreading. The most important preventative measure you can take is to prune all leaves, branches, and suckers within about a foot of the ground. The disease starts when dirt containing the fungus splashes up on foliage, so if you can avoid that, it'll go a long way toward keeping the plant healthy longer. Combine that with a normal Daconil type fungicide, and fertilize with Neptune's Harvest or some other slow-release form of nitrogen to ensure that new growth keeps pace with the dying lower vegetation.

I took a weenie drive down to New Milford, expecting them to have gotten crushed under that western band. Actually got more snow back at home... seems like just a few inches of paste here. Still beautiful, got some nice photos at Lover's Leap https://i.imgur.com/yzCbnoI.jpg

Depends where you are in Arizona. There's a reservation that doesn't observe DST, within the Navajo nation that does, within the state that doesn't... https://www.cntraveler.com/stories/2012-11-12/daylight-saving-donut-arizona-ken-jennings-maphead

Hey @IrishRob17, it's almost time to start our annual initiative educating people about the earliest sunsets being in early Dec.

You know, the oceans and the sun cycle. It's caused by... the oceans and the sun. Q.E.D.