Juliancolton

And, perhaps more to the point, why post something if you think it's wrong...

Yeah, that's optimistic for northern areas. We're looking at a ~4-hour window for decent snow growth and there's no guarantee we utilize all of it. 2-4" is a safe call. As an aside, it feels like we've been waiting for this "event" for an eternity and it's still 48 hours out...

Very much looking forward to another 2-3 months of a red tagger barking "you're wrong" at ppl without giving any reason why

It's proper muggy out. Not "for January", not "compared to last week", but full stop.

If the precip distribution and surface wind are favorable around daybreak Sunday, a run at 70F around daybreak wouldn't be totally out of the question. Crazy stuff.

Sometimes plain-English terminology gets the point across adequately. You don't always need a turboencabulator.

It's not exactly a new phrase. The "bomb cyclone" syntax has made occasional appearances in the MWR since the mid-80s, with references to meteorological bombs more generally going back even farther. The media sort of made a mockery of the term in the last couple years, but that's no fault of its own.

But they've served us so well with seasonal outlooks /s

Thanks guys, I'll check those out. My brother lives in Denver but is in Springfield for work one night next week, so I'm heading up to meet him for dinner. We're not typically the sort of guys who prefer one sort of food over another when browsing for places, so I leave my searches open-ended

What's the best restaurant in/around Springfield?

Don't tell me what to do!

The folks hosting the party asked if I could be ready at 11 since people were getting tired... then they asked if I could be ready at 10. Everyone out the door and on their way to bed by 10:30. One thing about old folks is they know how to run NYE.

Also, judging by the main discussion thread, the over/under for January is set at +15F. I'll take the over.

Maybe the real good pattern is the friends we made along the way.

Is such a thing even possible?!

Imagine bitching about only getting one historic blizzard per year

Nice. Best of both worlds.

I still have hopes of making my move to NS within the next few years. Somewhere near the shore in Lunenburg County would be ideal.

People make such an occasion out of the first flakes at their location. Hear ye, hear ye! Whereas, upon this day the sixteenth of December in the year of our Lord two thousand and nineteen, a tempest is inaugurated at this location; and, whereas, the elements being of such temper as to render water vapours coalesced into fine crystals; therefore, let it be known...

Sure, but the sun angle at solar noon only drops another 0.2° between now and the solstice. Do you really think that 0.2° of sun elevation outweighs all the other signals telling us it's winter? That going skating beneath the Rockefeller tree is an autumn pastime?

I will not abide the use of astronomical seasons on this forum.

It's a way of life, man.

I went to buy a 50 lb bag of 19-19-19 at the farm supply store the other day, and it felt like I was buying contraband fresh off the boat from Colombia. Had to ask for it by name, go in the back room, and promise the guy I wans't using it on my lawn before he would sell it to me... apparently it's illegal here to broadcast ferts containing phosphorous on lawns. Looked into it a little further and the exception was if you're starting a new lawn from scratch, or can prove to the state of NY via repeated soil tests that you're below a certain threshold of P. Pretty intense.

It's been a while since I've seen so many different agencies submit their model runs to the CME scoreboard. The average arrival time prediction is early afternoon, because of course. https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/

Up to Kp 5 tonight on what I think is the anniversary of that pretty good March 2015 solar storm. Nothing on the Sebec starcam and bright moon for the rest of the night means it's probably a snoozer.