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Juliancolton

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Everything posted by Juliancolton

  1. It took me fully three hours to clear even with a snowblower and tractor, and I'm definitely sore. That's a heavy snow that doesn't like to be bossed around.
  2. The core sample I took when I measured 11.9" this morning melted down to 1.62". Good pack-building snow, in an alternate universe where we can avail of such things.
  3. Drifting is actually pretty minimal around here. I drove around for a while and while it was clearly a windy storm based on the lack of snow on roofs and in trees, there are really no big drifts to report.
  4. The sun is breaking through and 11.9" will do it for storm total. In a vacuum, my 11.5" call for my location looks pretty masterful. Just ignore all the other towns.
  5. Bring me back some milk, I don't feel like snowblowing yet. That's going to be a delicate and arduous operation with lights and wires flanking the driveway.
  6. For sure. That was a really exaggerated mid-level dry push though... more than would be expected from that storm track IMO. Someone mentioned this as a point of caution in the SNE thread the other day, but it really did come to pass that the conveyor belt structure remained disjointed during cyclogenesis. It'll definitely be a funky snowfall distribution when all is said and done, but every storm is unique. Some nice snow showers with decent growth hanging back currently as the ULL crests overhead. Might be good for another inch or two.
  7. We asked for a Nemo 6"/hr repeat a little further west. Ask and ye shall receive!
  8. This is one bone-chilling snowstorm imby. 18F with a stinging wind, brutal. Pretty incredible for this to be the case in a storm whose potential was ultimately thwarted by mid-level warming. Seeing those 40"+ totals from out west really stings. I can't lie.
  9. Getting pretty blustery here with occasional whiteouts. It's still a bummer that this is all happening in the dead of night, and we won't have very impressive snow depths to show for it in the morning. Nice for 1 am jebwalks though.
  10. Yeah, even if we struck out in the second round, a widespread 6-8" would be just fine for mid-December. Light sleet, grauple, and even a few liquid drops falling now. Never would have thought it, but even this far north I'm starting to lose ice nuclei activation in whatever saturated layers may be around.
  11. Agree that more goodies are on the way, but would caution that those impressive looking echoes are being enhanced quite a bit by sleet/melting and will weaken as they push north. Probably won't reach the snowfall intensities that many of us saw a few hours ago.
  12. Take 'em down I think. There's still a razor-thin saturated layer somewhere up there making little needle aggregates, but we slot for the most part.
  13. That last band, albeit brief, was phenomenal. 1" in under 10 minutes. Shame it had to blow right through so quickly. 3.9"... a little breezy at times but not enough to affect reliable measuring.
  14. Yeah, it's dumping. Heaviest I've seen here at home since March 18. Somewhat disconcertingly, I'm seeing a lot of heavily rimed crystals out there which means the warm tongue is making real headway.
  15. Radar doesn't exactly give me the warm fuzzies. The nascent CCB seems to be taking shape way out in Pennsyltucky, where it's of no use to anyone. Takeaway is probably that the real high-end totals, which were always unlikely, continue to be unlikely.
  16. Just joined the club here as well. Best of luck to all
  17. There's some discussion on Twitter about why it prints out sleet colors despite totally frozen forecast soundings. Some good info/speculation in the replies here:
  18. All the talk probably does us no favors in the gender diversity department.
  19. I think it's trying to resolve the Newburgh Bay there. I wouldn't worry too much
  20. Dewpoint down to 2F, lol. Hopefully there's some storm left by the time the column gets juiced.
  21. 3km NAM bumped up its QPF to be more in-line with the HRRR, now widespread 2"+ of liquid west of the river.
  22. 26/5 here as the dewpoint continues to fall. That high to our NE means business. It's going to be fun times around and just after midnight, hopefully all are able to stay up and enjoy it. Deep, deep lift. We'll certainly do better than 10:1 for a while, although it's hard to get much above 13-14:1 with a mixed crystal habit sounding like this.
  23. It's likely false precision, but when I say POU I generally mean the airport itself rather than Poughkeepsie where people live. That's often a meaningful distinction and I think it could be in this case as well... if the banding/subsidence couplet sets up where I anticipate, there could definitely be a multi-inch gradient between the AWOS and, say, Marist, with higher totals N and W. It's a last-ditch bid to regain some of my lost credibility after going down with the suppression ship. Agreed, 12" is the make-or-break point west of the river. I was hoping to see some hints of a slower system, but alas, guidance continues to show a quick-hitter. The 12z HRRR gets close to saturating the column here between 8 and 9 pm and shuts off deep lift around 9 am. We have certainly seen big totals in 12-hour blitzes before. You just have to get lucky with local enhancements, without much opportunity to make up for lost ground.
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