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Juliancolton

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  1. Juliancolton
    I have patches of bare ground just starting to open up, though shaded areas still have a good 6-8"... but after the wind last night, it's covered with pine needles and marcescent leaves and not very attractive anymore, like you said. Hopefully tomorrow into Friday doesn't turn into one of your nothingburgers as this afternoon's trends suggest.
  2. Juliancolton
    First annuals are being started this afternoon – and I think today is pitchers and catchers as well? Time to wrap it up with winter. Let's do one more warning event and then make a clean break.
  3. Juliancolton
  4. Juliancolton
    That's when we do some of our best work.
  5. Juliancolton
    Any other day I'd offer to haul my blower down there, but alas, my truck is in the shop with a dead power steering pump. Hopefully you can find someone nearby to help out. Up to 31F here now. While low-level flow is still out of the north, the temp should climb above freezing in short order when heavier precip moves in and starts releasing latent heat.
  6. Juliancolton
    Yeah this sucks. I don't think I'm up to a tenth yet but the bigger problem imby is wet pavement flash-freezing. Driveway is completely impassable on foot.
  7. Juliancolton
    I feel very confident that ice isn't going to be a huge issue tonight. Even if there's a wafer-thin freezing layer at the surface, the melting layer aloft is warm and deep. While not discussed as much as with snow, ratios are an important consideration for ice accretion as well. Torched mid-levels like this mean raindrops are hitting the ground relatively warm, and mostly running off surfaces straddling the freezing mark. So this might be 0.1" or less of radial accretion for every inch of water. It'll be slick of course, care and reasonable precautions should be taken, but we're not waking up to a thick glaze.
  8. Juliancolton
    Yeah, Dec 2008 was pretty epic. I did that same drive up the Taconic. That was the last time I saw more than a couple tenths of an inch of glaze. Big ice can happen but as alluded to, it requires a near-perfect setup that doesn't come along very often.
  9. Juliancolton
    Looking at model trends for this week like
  10. Juliancolton
    Not exactly related to what you're saying, but people who will quote a post the size of a novel with 15 images just to say "Hope it snows" should be drawn and quartered.
  11. Juliancolton
    I need to get a trailer for my Kubota. We could relocate your snowbanks quicker than a weenie cancels winter after a mild GFS run
  12. Juliancolton
    Forcing me to read the main threads is against the Geneva Convention.
  13. Juliancolton
    And an induction to the 50" club, no less! Heck of a way to run the worst winter of all time.
  14. Juliancolton
    This visual reminds me a lot of the 'finger rafting' sea ice phenomenon with the interleaved stripes of cooler and warmer air. I wonder if the physical mechanisms are anything alike.
  15. Juliancolton
    No snowfall obs? You guys are getting ungrateful. smh 0.3" here
  16. Juliancolton
    Yeah, model QPF was extremely good in most areas, except for the very southern fringe of the moisture plume. One of the better-behaved systems of the year thus far.
  17. Juliancolton
    Nice sunset up in this region. Perhaps the best of the year so far. 3.2" storm total on 0.31" liquid. Nice little event, though ratios left a lot to be desired.
  18. Juliancolton
    Radar returns are really falling apart upstream from me. Probably not going to be too many surprises on the high end... a general 2-4" as we've thought for a while.
  19. Juliancolton
    1.7" here so far. In a pretty decent band with nice snow growth at the moment.
  20. Juliancolton
    I finally tallied my running total for the season, 34.9" so far. 4.7" more gets me to double last season's total. Doubt that happens tomorrow, but certainly doable by week's end.
  21. Juliancolton
    The flow across the country is absolutely screaming this week. Nickles and dimes.
  22. Juliancolton
    Weirdest gender reveal ever
  23. Juliancolton
    We all know you'd easily have 3" if not for your puritanical measuring practices. What is it, once every 72 hours?
  24. Juliancolton
    Honestly, I'm most disappointed about the arctic blast trending shorter and weaker. Was looking forward to some honest-to-goodness cold.
  25. Juliancolton
    I guess this hearkens back to the perennial debate about what constitutes a bust. We knew this was a light storm with most forecasts hovering around 2-4", and Albany's 90th-percentile totals below 1". IMO a true bust has to transcend categories of significance... like, you prepare for a major event and get a minor one. Going from minor to even more minor might just be a standard under-performer. In other words, it's not a true bust unless it's from the Büst region of France, otherwise it's just sparkling disappointment.
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