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Juliancolton

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Everything posted by Juliancolton

  1. Same here, came in like a wall. I'm not sure snow growth is particularly good (yet?), but it's falling in big old aggregates from the low-level warmth. Looks pretty.
  2. The 12z NAM is juicy. Somebody could get a sneaky 5" I think. 34/22F As a side note, if y'all could just post once in a while so it doesn't look like I'm talking to myself, that'd be swell...
  3. Radiating like a bastard here. 12F already. If we weren't clouding over tonight, I'd probably be headed for negative double digits.
  4. I think 36 is going to do it unless there are some downsloping shenanigans in the next hour or so. Nice day for sure! Yeah, looking forward to another refresher tomorrow. It looks to fall mostly during daylight which is also nice. Caveat emptor, this is a rough sounding for ratios...
  5. 0.9F was my low this morning, now up past 30 already. It is unquestionably sun angle season.
  6. Just like the rest of the forum, yeah.
  7. He's a JetBlue loyalist, and they pulled out of SWF last year. Are any passenger airlines operating there currently?
  8. I had to shuttle someone to HPN for the 7 am flight to FLL (they can keep it), and the return trip definitely got dicey in spots. 84 was snow-covered in the hills around Brewster in the last hour.
  9. I think I'm the odd one out in not particularly caring for this system (when you've had 3" in an hour just weeks prior, that same amount in 30 hours does not impress). Anything's better though than the rainier that models were showing up until maybe 4 or 5 days ago. Looks like a pretty epic weekend for getting outside with bright sunshine and highs around 30.
  10. 2.9" here. Thought I might have 3" just from looking, but not yet. Upstream radar looks decent for the next hour or two.
  11. Looks like that activity I mentioned is mostly setting up shop well to the north. Probably not gonna be very exciting for most here.
  12. This is how people look when they measure to the nearest quarter and write it as 2.25"
  13. Yeah I might have an inch, I can't be arsed to measure at the moment. Getting chilly though so roads are consequently getting a bit treacherous.
  14. "Round 2" itself has two or three minor upper-level impulses that will trigger light snow in dribs and drabs over the next 18-24 hours. The next little period of activity is taking shape as you noted. Best chance to reach the low ends of forecast ranges will be in the wee hours tomorrow morning, maybe midnight to 5 am, with a little vortmax swinging through. Even then, the mesoscale guidance points to rates under a quarter inch per hour. Hey @IrishRob17, how do we feel about "weaksauce"?
  15. The hi-res NAM still gets around half an inch of liquid into your area, despite the shift SE at 12z. Hopefully it's correct. Not expecting much up here. It'll be a tall order to get more than 3" or so without any help from this first wave. Join the parthenocarpic revolution!
  16. Allergy season is any time a plant somewhere is reproducing, so March to November, inclusive. I've had measurable snow in April 5 out of the last 7 years and my allergies are still brutal all season. I think you'd need an extended deep freeze to really dampen pollen counts, but who wants to see everyone lose their fruit crops for the year?
  17. I have patches of bare ground just starting to open up, though shaded areas still have a good 6-8"... but after the wind last night, it's covered with pine needles and marcescent leaves and not very attractive anymore, like you said. Hopefully tomorrow into Friday doesn't turn into one of your nothingburgers as this afternoon's trends suggest.
  18. First annuals are being started this afternoon – and I think today is pitchers and catchers as well? Time to wrap it up with winter. Let's do one more warning event and then make a clean break.
  19. That's when we do some of our best work.
  20. Any other day I'd offer to haul my blower down there, but alas, my truck is in the shop with a dead power steering pump. Hopefully you can find someone nearby to help out. Up to 31F here now. While low-level flow is still out of the north, the temp should climb above freezing in short order when heavier precip moves in and starts releasing latent heat.
  21. Yeah this sucks. I don't think I'm up to a tenth yet but the bigger problem imby is wet pavement flash-freezing. Driveway is completely impassable on foot.
  22. I feel very confident that ice isn't going to be a huge issue tonight. Even if there's a wafer-thin freezing layer at the surface, the melting layer aloft is warm and deep. While not discussed as much as with snow, ratios are an important consideration for ice accretion as well. Torched mid-levels like this mean raindrops are hitting the ground relatively warm, and mostly running off surfaces straddling the freezing mark. So this might be 0.1" or less of radial accretion for every inch of water. It'll be slick of course, care and reasonable precautions should be taken, but we're not waking up to a thick glaze.
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