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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. Man, the storm goes really far west on the GFS. Just refuses to budge. Still a nice front end thump.
  2. It's out on StormVista and you'll like the end result, moved east by a fair bit.
  3. It ends up looking REALLY good for this area (especially just west of DC), definitely shifted east.
  4. You're not comparing the same time frame. I'm talking about the NAM at the end of it's run vs the GFS and Euro at the same time (12Z Sunday). I wasn't being combative, I was replying to a specific post that showed that.
  5. It isn't, but like you said it's the NAM at 84 hours. Hope you guys get clobbered, just saying what it shows. To perhaps level the playing field, it has the 250 mb jet further south and in a better position. It's closed off a full state west (though it's probably too agressive in that regard)
  6. The heaviest. Winds at least look exciting. Good luck guys.
  7. Look how far west it's closed off at 500 mb, if you extrapolate that it probably ends up really far west. Even compared to the GFS and Euro is significantly further west.
  8. I think he meant with winds early next week, models have a rather significant wind event for coastal areas.
  9. Probably because of their lower resolution, so they tend of be more broad and smooth out things.
  10. This is driving me crazy, I distinctly remember everyone arguing if double barrel lows could happen or it's convective feedback. In the end it was one strong consolidated low well west of what models initially had.
  11. Lowest current observed surface pressure is near Boone NC at 1006 mb, it's in the mountains though so it's probably a bit higher.
  12. I hope the clouds don't roll in till another few hours so we can radiate a bit with the low dew points we have. Not that temperatures are a concern, but the colder the better.
  13. Ukie, Icon, both NAMs, HRRR, etc. I hope we both getsomething, just keep expectations low as there's a good chance we get nothing.
  14. You're far from guaranteed an inch. You might not even seeba flake if some models are right.
  15. Accumulating snow into DC now, pretty significant change from 12Z.
  16. Strong couplet south of Edgerton KS, couplld probably use a tornado warning.
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