jaxjagman

Thats still insane.I lived in Jacksonville for around 25 years.Like that article i posted from the from the Climate center in Florida ill post think link it does get cold i know,but ice i never seen ice until i moved here.With a Nor-easter in some winters when those winds cross the STJohns River,oh that shit is brutal..lol https://climatecenter.fsu.edu/topics/winters

Didnt even know Florida could get so cold ,even though it was back into the 1800's Although many people head south to escape the cold in the winter, it isn't always warmer in Florida. When an intense low pressure system is followed by a strong high pressure system, particularly powerful invasions of cold air may occur in Florida. These cold air outbreaks can produce below-freezing temperatures and are usually accompanied by strong winds that can produce bitterly cold wind chills. Over the past 150 years, numerous severe cold outbreaks have affected Florida. In February 1899, a cold wave that became known as the Great Arctic Outbreak pushed frigid Canadian arctic air into the state. During this event, the lowest temperature ever recorded in Florida (-2°F) occurred on February 13, 1899. Since this outbreak, a number of "impact freezes" have influenced the retreat of the famous Florida orange groves from areas around Jacksonville and St. Augustine to their current locations in south Florida.

Right,i was thinking the same thing myself

Guess its possible but would be really,really rare

I cant ever recall a ice storm in North Fl..lol

Yeah the MJO into 3 alot of people always say thats gloom and doom but actually its not

We get excited with the GWO into those phases for severe if its right..lol

The pattern as of late has been acting like a decent Nino other than a Nina,so its not very coupled.The SOI the last couple days is hovering around -20,the SOI seemingly should start to reverse shortly

Mean has really jumped on board today seemingly

Yeah thats brutal seeing a 1058hp nosing into Oklahoma the Euro is showing,could be the coldest temps we've seen all season

https://www.weather.gov/hun/lanina_winter_study_tennessee3_temperatures

The link to above id you care..lol https://www.weather.gov/hun/elnino_winter_study_tennessee3_temperatures

I assume this is going by the ONI,this is Middle Tn IN Nina years

Maybe,im not sure what will happen,everything could be suppressed like Jeff mentioned,we had a ULL off the east coast last storm,models are showing a ULR off the east coast right now where ever it is placed,this could suppress the jet and hoping for clippers,to far off to tell right now plus im looking at the Euro long range

I dont think we have the blocking for a storm next weekend like WPC was talking about earlier,the blocking dont seem to be there and both the GFS and Euro shows a active southern jet going into the OV,this should scream cutter and maybe cold chasing rain and maybe if cold can catch up possibly some higher elevation wrap around,maybe it will change,dunno right now

Need the Euro to verify,if its even close with the blocking its showing it will turn quite cold with the map Jeff just showed

Im not saying never use it,its still guidance.Sometimes it misses waves but corrects itself later,same with other models.It doesnt even have support from its members from some of its members,some are showing a stronger signal into the IO right now

Still believe the Euro is out to lunch

i was about to say that,give me weenie 18

About over for us other than some flakes and maybe a brief shower

We always got severe coming,could be active this year

Just saying those are mesoscale snow bands

Nore like snow bands,look at the Memphis radar,its fixing to end along the MS/River

We're getting some moderate snow now,might be the best all day