SACRUS

48 / 28 partly cloudy. Warm the next few days, chance at 60 Wed or Thu with light rain/showers. Mainly dry the next 7 days with colder still forevast by Sunday 3/2 - 3/5. Overall may lean colder than normal till the 10/11th. Beyond there warmup but we'll see if its warm or slightly warm/wet.

I was talking about here in CNJ. NYC was 60 on the Dec 29th and 60 and the Dec 11th.

55 here , warmest since 61 on Dec 29th

Coldest still forecast to be 3/2 - 3/3.

Can also see a scenario the warmup is muted by a less warm and wet period 11 - 21. Will be interesting to track.

in 1969 the NY/NJ metro areas received about 1-3 inches only.

NYC Feb 24-25, 2005 : 6 inches of snowfall. EWR: 6.7

Records: Highs: EWR: 74 (2017) NYC: 75 (1985) LGA: 73 (1985) JFK: 62 (2017) Lows: EWR: 4 (2015) NYC: -1 (1873) LGA: 6 (2015) JFK: 7 (2015) Historical: 1852 - The Susquehanna River ice bridge at Havre de Grace, MD, commenced to break up after forty days of use. A total of 1738 loaded freight cars were hauled along rails laid on the ice. (David Ludlum) 1936 - Vermont and New Hampshire received brown snow due to dust from storms in the Great Plains Region. A muddy rain fell across parts of northern New York State. (24th-25th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1969: The famous "100-Hour Storm" began in Boston, MA. Snow often fell between early on the 25th and noon on the 28th. The 26.3 inches at Logan Airport is the 2nd most significant snowstorm in Boston's history. In addition, 77 inches fell at Pinkham Notch Base Station in New Hampshire, bringing their February total to 130 inches. Their snow cover on the 27th was 164 inches. Mt. Washington, NH, received 172.8 inches of snow in the month. 1987 - A massive winter storm began to overspread the western U.S. In southern California, Big Bear was blanketed with 17 inches of snow, and Lake Hughes reported four inches of snow in just one hour. Snow pellets whitened coastal areas of Orange County and San Diego County, with three inches at Huntington Beach. The storm also produced thunderstorms with hail and waterspouts. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong winds produced snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region which created "white-out" conditions in eastern Upper Michigan. Squalls produced up to 14 inches of snow in Geauga County of northeastern Ohio. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A total of thirty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, and an Atlantic coast storm spread heavy snow from Georgia to southern New England. Snowfall totals in New Jersey ranged up to 24 inches in May County, with 19 inches reported at Atlantic City. Totals in North Carolina ranged up to 18 inches in Gates County, and winds along the coast of North Carolina gusted to 70 mph at Duck Pier. Strong winds gusting to 52 mph created blizzard conditions at Chatham MA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Strong northerly winds prevailed from Illinois to the Southern and Central Appalachians. Winds gusted to 68 mph at Sewickley Heights PA. High winds caused considerable blowing and drifting of snow across northern and central Indiana through the day. Wind gusts to 47 mph and 6 to 8 inches of snow created white-out conditions around South Bend IN. Traffic accidents resulted in two deaths and 130 injuries. Sixty-five persons were injured in one accident along Interstate 69 in Huntington County. Wind gusts to 60 mph and 4 to 8 inches of snow created blizzard conditions in eastern and northern Ohio. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2001: Over a dozen tornadoes spawned in central and eastern Arkansas. The strongest tornado (F3) was in Desha County, with parts of a farm shop found six miles away from where it was blown apart. An 18-month-old was killed in Fulton County by an F2 tornado. 2004 - Heavy snows blanket wide areas of northern New Mexico, closing schools and highways. he mountains east of Santa Fe receive 20 inches. Sandia Park, east of Albuquerque, measures 11 inches. 8 inches falls at Los Alamos. 2007: An EF3 tornado struck Dumas, Arkansas, injuring 28. Seven other tornadoes hit southeast Arkansas on this day, but no fatalities. 2016: A strong area of low pressure along with a cold front produced a severe weather outbreak from North Carolina to Pennsylvania. Not one but two rare February tornadoes occurred in central Virginia. The strongest tornado caused EF3 damage in Appomattox County. This is the first EF3 tornado ever in Appomattox County.

39 / 28. Generally warm and mostly dry next 5 days with (50) outside some light raoin showers which is hopefully enough to clean away some of the salt messes. Some areas go to 50 yesterday and will the next 4-5 days and thats the first time of consecutive 50s in more than 2-3 days since Dec 8 - 12th. Still looks colder by the 2 - 5, but last 48 hours moderated the depth and extent of the cold to Tue/Wed (next week). Most guidance shows some meaningful rain coming around the 5th.

Dry theme next 5 - 7 days

Feb 15 - 16 , 2016 EWR: Feb 15: 33 / 10 Feb 16: 55 / 33

Cold period, should be back to or above normal today (2/23) 2/17 NYC: 36 / 26 (-5) LGA: 38 / 27 (-4) EWR: 38 / 27 (-3) JFK: 39 / 29 (-1) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/18 JFK: 32 / 22 (-8) EWR: 30 / 20 (-11) NYC: 27/19 (-13) LGA: 28 / 20 (-13) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/19 EWR: 34 / 17 (-10) NYC: 30 / 17 (-13) LGA: 31 / 18 (-12) JFK: 36 / 20 (-6) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/20 EWR: 31 / 19 (-11) NYC: 29 / 18 (-13) LGA: 30 / 19 (-12) JFK: 34 / 20 (-8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2/21 EWR: 37 / 22 (-6) NYC: 36 / 22 (-8) LGA: 35 / 22 (-8) JFK: 40 / 24 (-4) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/22 JFK: 41 / 23 (-4) EWR: 43 / 21 (-5) LGA: 41 / 22 (-6) NYC: 39 / 21 (-7)

Im not quite sure i was just a baby :-). It predates official daily record keeping in NYC.

February 23, 1987 Snowfall JFK: 6.1 NYC: 4.2 Newark: 4.1 LGA: 3.5

Daylight: 11H:02M Sunrise: 6:39 AM Sunset : 5:41 PM Roughly equivalent to October 17 Gained : 1H47M from the Dec 21 lull Adding an additional 2m36 -41 seconds of daylight each day the next week

The Feb 22-23 , 1987 snowstorm only saw 3 - 5 inches of snowfall north of TTN.

Records: Highs: EWR: 70 (2022) NYC: 72 (1874) LGA: 68 (2022) JFK: 69 (2022) Lows: EWR: 7 (2015) NYC: 5 (1889) LGA: 8 (2015) JFK: 9 (2015) Historical: 1802 - A great snowstorm raged along the New England coast producing 48 inches of snow north of Boston. Three large ships from Salem were wrecked along Cape Cod. (David Ludlum) 1936 - A severe blizzard in the Sierra Nevada Range closed Donner Pass. It stranded 750 motorists and claimed seven lives. (David Ludlum) 1977: A rare February tornado touched down briefly in Mason City, Iowa, inflicting F1 damage on a home and injuring one person inside. This is the only known February tornado on record in Iowa. 1987 - A winter storm buried the Middle Atlantic Coast Region under heavy snow. Totals ranged up to 24 inches at Lancaster PA, with 23 inches at Coatesville PA. During the height of the storm Philadelphia PA received five inches of snow in just one hour. The Washington D.C. area was blanketed with up to 15 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong northwesterly winds ushered arctic air into the central U.S., and temperatures in Missouri were thirty degrees colder than the previous day. The strong winds produced squalls along the shore of Lake Superior, with up to 15 inches of snow reported over the Keweenaw Peninsula of Upper Michigan. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Nineteen cities in the central U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, including Lincoln NE with a reading of 19 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A fast moving storm produced near blizzard conditions in Michigan. Snowfall totals ranged up to 9.5 inches in Allegan County, wind gusts reached 74 mph at Ann Arbor, and five foot snow drifts were reported around Saginaw. The Michigan AAA records showed more than 5000 traffic accidents reported, a near record for one day. There were several chain reaction collisions. One near Pontiac involved a hundred cars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

37 / 15 clear and what should be the warmest day since the 16th, mid 40s. Should see the warmest 3-4 days (3-4 days of >50) since December 8th- 11th. SOme light rain Thu-Fri AM. Next weekend looking like a split warmer Saturday and colder Sunday . The period 3/2 - 3/5 moderated on the more recent guidance.

Up to 43 today had clear / sunny skies till 1:30/2:00. Quickly down to 34

The trough is in the east Mar 2/3 - 5/6th and looks below normal that stretch with some colder departures 3-5th

Adding ISP : -0.8 NJ - EPA TTN: -3.1 MMU: -1.7 ABE: -1.8 ACY: -1.8 PHL: -1.5

Would eventually get grazed with 3 - 5 inches of snow in (1987) by the 23rd from that storm. Very active winter but suppressed tracks.

Thru the 21st JFK: + 0.9 EWR: - 1.5 LGA: -2.8 NYC: -3.1

Cold period 2/17 NYC: 36 / 26 (-5) LGA: 38 / 27 (-4) EWR: 38 / 27 (-3) JFK: 39 / 29 (-1) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/18 JFK: 32 / 22 (-8) EWR: 30 / 20 (-11) NYC: 27/19 (-13) LGA: 28 / 20 (-13) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/19 EWR: 34 / 17 (-10) NYC: 30 / 17 (-13) LGA: 31 / 18 (-12) JFK: 36 / 20 (-6) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/20 EWR: 31 / 19 (-11) NYC: 29 / 18 (-13) LGA: 30 / 19 (-12) JFK: 34 / 20 (-8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2/21 EWR: 37 / 22 (-6) NYC: 36 / 22 (-8) LGA: 35 / 22 (-8) JFK: 40 / 24 (-4)

Thinking we have 3 -5 days colder.