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SACRUS

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  1. Another sweep in the low to mid 90s TEB: 93 NYC: 91 EWR: 94 LGA: 95 JFk: 91 ISP: 90 New Brunswick: 92 TTN: 91 ACY: 92 PHL: 93
  2. Sweep today. TEB: 96 NYC: 92 EWR: 96 LGA: 96 JFk: 90 ISP: 92 New Brunswick: 94 TTN: 92 ACY: 92 PHL: 92
  3. TEB adds a 90 and EWR just short at 89 TEB: 91 NYC: 88 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFk: 80 ISP: 82 New Brunswick: 88 TTN: 86 ACY: 83 PHL: 85
  4. Mei analogs Actual value Apr/May: .069 Closest analogs: 1988: .085 2003: .048 1959: .017 1984: .121 2006: -.036 Closest trends 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 .009 .069 2001 -.539 -.717 -.607 -.146 .185 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 .018 -.284 1959 .574 .804 .502 .217 .017 1984 -.339 -.565 .131 .331 .121 1996 -.644 -.595 -.264 -.505 -.178 2003 1.184 .927 .819 .308 .048
  5. Nice work Iso. Great maps looks right to me for my area and for nyc/ewr
  6. Today's highs; PHL: 88 EWR: 90 TEB: 90 New Bnswk: 88 ACY: 86 LGA: 89 TTN: 86 NYC: 88 JFK: 74 ISP: 77
  7. any 90 in a calendar year is counted. the sep 90 degee readings are included for 2010 - 2013
  8. Today's highs PHL: 93 EWR: 93 TEB: 91 New Bnswk: 91 ACY: 89 LGA: 89 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 JFK: 79 ISP: 82
  9. Today's Highs PHL: 93 EWR: 94 TEB: 95 New Bnswk: 92 ACY: 90 LGA: 93 TTN: 91 NYC: 90 JFK: 84 ISP: 89
  10. Today's highs PHL: 93 ACY: 91 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 TTN: 91 New Brunswick: 93 LGA: 93 NYC: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 88
  11. PHL adds their first 90 reading. TEB, EWR, ACY just short at 89. cooler into NYC/LI. today;s highs PHL: 90 ACY: 89 EWR: 89 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 New Brunswick: 88 LGA: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 75 ISP: 74
  12. Onto tracking 2013 90 (+) degree days. First chance for some of the warmer areas with enough sunshine on tue/wed but i think we'll fall short. Some hints that the period on/around may 29th could see some heat and the first 90s this year. Call for the summer EWR: 27 NYC: 15 (lots of near misses 88/89)
  13. Mei analogs Actual value: MAr/Apr .009 Closest analogs: 1961: .018 1960: .019 2012: .058 1982: -.041 1965: .104 Closest trends (last 12 mos) 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 .009 2002 -.05 -.21 -.201 .339 2009 -.752 -.719 -.719 -.159 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 .018 1982 -.282 -.146 .086 -.041 1965 -.525 -.323 -.249 .104
  14. Mei analogs Actual value: Feb/Mar: -.171 Closest analogs: 2002: -.201 2004: -.125 1961: --.082 1965: -.249 1972: -.253 1997: -.254 1996: -.264 Closest trends (last 12 mos) 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 2002 -.05 -.21 -.201 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 1982 -.282 -.146 .086
  15. California-like last year and Caribou-like this year. I do remember the snow in 2005, another chilly March
  16. Mei analogs Actual value: Jan/Feb -.163 Closest analogs: 1981: -.162 1982: -.146 2002: -.210 1960: -.262 1954: -.018 Closest trends; YEAR DECJAN JANFEB F 2013 .042 -.163 2002 -.05 -.211954 -.051 -.0181981 -.245 -.1621952 .406 .131
  17. Mei analogs Acutal value: Dec /Jan: .042 1953: .024 2002: -.05 1954: -.051 1990: .234 1961: -.152 Closest trends; 2012 .579 .271 .103 .166 .037 2013 .042 2001 .367 -.126 -.276 -.18 .003 2002 -.05 1952 -.16 .362 .31 -.34 -.126 1953 .024 1989 -.501 -.28 -.318 -.066 .142 1990 .234
  18. I know there have been better more detailed threads on this but a helpful reference for the next 36 hours. time model starts to run GFS: 10:30; 4:30 (AM/PM) GEFS (Eneembles): 12:00, 6:00 (AM/PM) NAM: 9:00, 3:00 (AM/PM SREF: 8:20, 2:20 (AM/PM) RGEM: 10:20, 4:00 (AM/PM) GGEM (CMC): 11:00 (AM/PM UKMET: 10:40 (AM/PM) ECMWF (Euro/ECM): 12:45 (AM/PM) ECM ensembles: 3:00 (AM/PM) additional higher res model MM5 AWR
  19. 94/95 has been a decent analog for this winter. Like then, I think we'll have our 'one' significant storm in the early feb timeframe.
  20. It'll be interesting to see how things evolve but those looking well beyond into the warm season. These analogs are a who's who of some torches. 2002, 1990, 1953.
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