SACRUS
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Another sweep in the low to mid 90s TEB: 93 NYC: 91 EWR: 94 LGA: 95 JFk: 91 ISP: 90 New Brunswick: 92 TTN: 91 ACY: 92 PHL: 93
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Sweep today. TEB: 96 NYC: 92 EWR: 96 LGA: 96 JFk: 90 ISP: 92 New Brunswick: 94 TTN: 92 ACY: 92 PHL: 92
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TEB adds a 90 and EWR just short at 89 TEB: 91 NYC: 88 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFk: 80 ISP: 82 New Brunswick: 88 TTN: 86 ACY: 83 PHL: 85
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latest sst anomaly
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Mei analogs Actual value Apr/May: .069 Closest analogs: 1988: .085 2003: .048 1959: .017 1984: .121 2006: -.036 Closest trends 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 .009 .069 2001 -.539 -.717 -.607 -.146 .185 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 .018 -.284 1959 .574 .804 .502 .217 .017 1984 -.339 -.565 .131 .331 .121 1996 -.644 -.595 -.264 -.505 -.178 2003 1.184 .927 .819 .308 .048
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Updated 89 degree days.
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Nice work Iso. Great maps looks right to me for my area and for nyc/ewr
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Today's highs; PHL: 88 EWR: 90 TEB: 90 New Bnswk: 88 ACY: 86 LGA: 89 TTN: 86 NYC: 88 JFK: 74 ISP: 77
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any 90 in a calendar year is counted. the sep 90 degee readings are included for 2010 - 2013
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Today's highs PHL: 93 EWR: 93 TEB: 91 New Bnswk: 91 ACY: 89 LGA: 89 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 JFK: 79 ISP: 82
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Today's Highs PHL: 93 EWR: 94 TEB: 95 New Bnswk: 92 ACY: 90 LGA: 93 TTN: 91 NYC: 90 JFK: 84 ISP: 89
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Today's highs PHL: 93 ACY: 91 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 TTN: 91 New Brunswick: 93 LGA: 93 NYC: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 88
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PHL adds their first 90 reading. TEB, EWR, ACY just short at 89. cooler into NYC/LI. today;s highs PHL: 90 ACY: 89 EWR: 89 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 New Brunswick: 88 LGA: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 75 ISP: 74
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Onto tracking 2013 90 (+) degree days. First chance for some of the warmer areas with enough sunshine on tue/wed but i think we'll fall short. Some hints that the period on/around may 29th could see some heat and the first 90s this year. Call for the summer EWR: 27 NYC: 15 (lots of near misses 88/89)
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latest sst anomalies
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Mei analogs Actual value: MAr/Apr .009 Closest analogs: 1961: .018 1960: .019 2012: .058 1982: -.041 1965: .104 Closest trends (last 12 mos) 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 .009 2002 -.05 -.21 -.201 .339 2009 -.752 -.719 -.719 -.159 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 .018 1982 -.282 -.146 .086 -.041 1965 -.525 -.323 -.249 .104
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Latest sst anomalies
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Mei analogs Actual value: Feb/Mar: -.171 Closest analogs: 2002: -.201 2004: -.125 1961: --.082 1965: -.249 1972: -.253 1997: -.254 1996: -.264 Closest trends (last 12 mos) 2013 .042 -.163 -.171 2002 -.05 -.21 -.201 1961 -.152 -.267 -.082 1982 -.282 -.146 .086
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California-like last year and Caribou-like this year. I do remember the snow in 2005, another chilly March
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Mei analogs Actual value: Jan/Feb -.163 Closest analogs: 1981: -.162 1982: -.146 2002: -.210 1960: -.262 1954: -.018 Closest trends; YEAR DECJAN JANFEB F 2013 .042 -.163 2002 -.05 -.211954 -.051 -.0181981 -.245 -.1621952 .406 .131
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Mei analogs Acutal value: Dec /Jan: .042 1953: .024 2002: -.05 1954: -.051 1990: .234 1961: -.152 Closest trends; 2012 .579 .271 .103 .166 .037 2013 .042 2001 .367 -.126 -.276 -.18 .003 2002 -.05 1952 -.16 .362 .31 -.34 -.126 1953 .024 1989 -.501 -.28 -.318 -.066 .142 1990 .234
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bumping for reference
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I know there have been better more detailed threads on this but a helpful reference for the next 36 hours. time model starts to run GFS: 10:30; 4:30 (AM/PM) GEFS (Eneembles): 12:00, 6:00 (AM/PM) NAM: 9:00, 3:00 (AM/PM SREF: 8:20, 2:20 (AM/PM) RGEM: 10:20, 4:00 (AM/PM) GGEM (CMC): 11:00 (AM/PM UKMET: 10:40 (AM/PM) ECMWF (Euro/ECM): 12:45 (AM/PM) ECM ensembles: 3:00 (AM/PM) additional higher res model MM5 AWR
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94/95 has been a decent analog for this winter. Like then, I think we'll have our 'one' significant storm in the early feb timeframe.
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It'll be interesting to see how things evolve but those looking well beyond into the warm season. These analogs are a who's who of some torches. 2002, 1990, 1953.