SACRUS

10PM LGA: 91 EWR: 86 NYC: 85 TEB: 83 JFK: 82

Rockies Ridge, Trough into the MW/GL and WAR close by / expanding west at times keeping EC warm to hot. Warm/wet opening to August. Tropics could add to recent excess rainfalls.

JULY 90(+) days last 10 years. 2020 will be at or in top 3 of last 10 years of 90 degree days. EWR: 2020 (so far): 13 2019: 14 2018: 9 2017: 9 2016: 16 2015: 13 2014: 8 2013: 15 2012: 16 2011: 22 2010: 21 LGA: 2020 (so far): 15 2019: 14 2018: 10 2017: 8 2016: 15 2015: 6 2014: 3 2013: 15 2012: 13 2011: 13 2010: 18

For reference record highs. Most look safe but with enough sunshine could do it... JFK, LGA, EWR 7/27 JFK: 97 (1963) ISP: 94 (1999) LGA: 100 (2005) NYC: 98 (1963) EWR: 101 (2005) New Brnswck: 99 (1999) TTN: 98 (1940) PHL: 100 (194)

7/26 LGA: 95 EWR: 94 PHL: 94 JFK: 93 TEB: 93 ACY: 93 TTN: 93 BLM: 93 NYC: 92 New Brnswck: 92 ISP: 90

7/26 Clean Sweep for all locations and sites. LGA: 95 EWR: 94 PHL: 94 JFK: 93 TEB: 93 ACY: 93 TTN: 93 BLM: 93 NYC: 92 New Brnswck: 92 ISP: 90

Almost completely clear. 850s near 16-17C now. Add 3-5 more tomorrow 19-22C and we got a real shot at triple digits with W'rly flow and full sunshine (if it stays this clear).

Quick downpour in rhe LBI/ACY vicinity.

3PM Roundup LGA: 95/59 EWR: 93/62 PHL: 93/65 New Brnswck: 92/66 BLM: 92/74 TEB: 92/65 ACY: 91/73 NYC: 91/63 TTN: 91/64 JFK: 90/73 ISP: 88/75

Had about 35 mins of clouds between 1:15 and 1:45 here in CNJ with light shower. Sun out and 93 now but dewpoint from from 76 to 68 now and likely dropping. Could beat hottest high here so far (97).

2PM Roundup LGA: 95/59 EWR: 93/63 New Brnswck: 92/68 ACY: 92/74 TTN: 92/67 TEB: 92/64 PHL: 92/66 BLM: 91/77 NYC: 91/63 ISP: 89/70 JFK: 88/755

Drier/lower dewpoint working south the last hour

11AM Roundup LGA: 90/63 ACY: 90/75 EWR: 89/67 TEB: 89/65 ISP: 88/75 New Brnswck: 88/75 BLM: 87/78 NYC: 86/68 PHL: 86/76 TTN: 86/73 JFK: 84/74

BLM, Belmar with 80 DT

10AM Roundup TEB: 87/70 LGA: 87/67 ACY: 87/75 ISP: 86/72 EWR: 86/71 New Brnswck: 86/75 JFK: 84/76 TTN: 84/75 PHL: 83/76 BLM: 83/80 NYC: 83/70

9AM Roundup LGA: 85/69 ACY: 84/75 EWR: 83/73 TEB: 83/71 ISP: 82/75 JFK: 82/74 New Brnswck: 82/75 PHL: 80/76 BLM: 80/79 NYC: 80/73 TTN: 80/76

Tropics this morning. 83/76 here feels like Jamaica. The heat is on and temps will challenge this past Mon-Tue as guidance continues to forecast a push of 850MB temps 22-23C Monday PM through Tue PM. That should translate into many 97- 101s under mostly sunny conditions. Clouds and recent heavy rains the only factors that may halt any triple digits in the hot spots NE/C-NJ / LGA metro. Front triggers some widespread storms - looking at timing later TUesday. Well have to see what debirs clouds and storms linger into Wed which may cause a break in the 90s, otherwise Wed should get into the 90s. Thu (7/30) - Sat(Aug 1) now looking much warmer on guidance and should see temps at or above 90 for much the area. Warm and wet. Beyond there the tropics will need to be watched. As WAR is nearby and retrograding west in the next week to 10 days. This should keep heights higher along the east coast with nearby trough into the GL/OV is the ridge moves back towards the Rockies for a period. We'll see if it trends less cool but guidance has D8- 10 cooldown to near or below normal. 8/2-4/ . By the second week of August the ridge is on the move east again into the Plains and Midwest and strong heat looks to again eject east in that time-frame. Timing the WAR expansion could again trigger a strong heat spike in that 8/6 - 8/14 time-frame.

A majority of Today's 12z guidance has a tropical storm near the SE/Carolinas around Aug 3rd. Way out there but with the WAR building west - how west will determine if any tropical system is an EC or FL/GOM track.

Adding a few ISP: +3.2 TEB: +3.1 BLM: +3.7 TTN: +3.4 PHL: +3.3

7/25 LGA: 92 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 BLM: 89 TTN: 88 NYC: 88 ISP: 86 ACY: 86 JFK: 85

7/25 LGA: 92 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 BLM: 89 TTN: 88 NYC: 88 ISP: 86 ACY: 86 JFK: 85

3PM Roundup LGA: 91 New Brnswck: 89 BLM: 88 EWR: 88 PHL: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 86 NYC: 86 ISP: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 84

2PM Roundup LGA: 89 BLM: 88 New Brnswck: 88 NYC: 87 TEB: 87 EWR: 87 ACY: 86 PHL: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 84 ISP: 84

1PM Roundup LGA: 88 EWR: 87 TEB: 87 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 85 BYC: 85 PHL: 84 TTN: 83

Guidance had certainly moderated in that Jul 30 - Aug 1/2nd period from showing below normal temps to near normal now. Looks to get quite humid early Aug. Only below normal days will likely be attributed to conditions like yesterday cloudy/showers most of the day for the next 10 days / 2 weeks.