mahk_webstah

a classic dendrite-dryslat screwjob. Gene will have a sunny day.

with your location, we are almost on the same team.

that is when the gradient and the swfe take over?

I hope the 50-50 isn't too suppressive for some of us, but so far it doesn't look that way. It seems far enough north to not shove everything out to the south.

Kevin is engorged. http://wintercenter.homestead.com/photonov1921.html

A few years ago in February we stayed at the mountain view grand in whitefield. Only a few inches otg there, kinda disappointing. Found a snowmobile rental place in Jefferson and it was a different world. 4-5ft in the woods, snow falling 2” an hour. Amazing fun riding through those woods. 20 minute drive at the most from Whitefield.

I've been to Winter Carnival 3 times. The best city in North American to feel like you are not in North American. Great walking, great food, great boutique hotels. Please keep posting and send pics!!!

All we need is a little bit of blocking to our north northeast to force swfe or Miller Bs. If we get that bit of blocking it will show up in these modeled forecasts but a little to the events. Maybe we start to see that aft this weekend. Truthfully, I’m kind of expecting that.

Covid ruined it for this winter, but not enough of us visit the best snow town in eastern NA-Quebec City

Greatest pack year ever eh? When we moved up here March 31 there was still 24 inches of snow in the yard. I think it got close to 50 inches on the level.

I mean, I'm not a met but doesn't that imply some chances with systems coming under the trough and getting forced south by th blocking in the north atlantic? wouldn't that give us chances, though it is clearly not a perfect pattern.

I think late Dec 2007 was very good in NNE, yes? I didn't move here until the following year. Late December with cold air nearby is a good bet for many of us. I think that 2007-08 winter didn't feature a lot of big storms, but light and moderate ones were frequent. I've learned not to like some of the patterns that the MA and SNE like.

Point taken. It still seems like there are more misses these days and model gyrations. It is not just the maps because you help us see reality. The Euro no longer dependable, gfs kinda new. It all just seems less can be counted on from models these days although maybe it is the bias that comes from paying attention more. It wouldn’t surprise me though that the pace of climate change fooks with the analogue data; Tip has talked about this. I’m not a scientist so can’t provide any reliable analysis. But if the Mets don’t feel the models are worse with these storms, then you are probably right since you work with them every day.

Or the pattern might look different in a day or two..,.as has been happening

You’re missing my larger question. I don’t know the model verification scores on specific storms but it seems busts are more frequent last couple. I realize it could be some sort of bias at play but it seems it’s been a bustorama latelu

Is there any data to support this? Maybe Tip has an idea.

Is it my imagination or is that happening more often lately with storms?

Effin pos is what this is

Next

But the chickens are safe

I will send you a private message about backs. I know some thing about them. It’s just I’m looking at the radar now and the echoes have not gotten any worse it looks like there’s some potential but the snowfall rates here have gotten worse. So that says to me that maybe we’re getting a north northeast wind or some thing that’s causing us to dry out a bit. I’m not optimistic at all, at least about snow

That’s what it looks like in radars. No good band setting up here despite a storm track that should be good for us. We’vI really struggle a lot in these coastal’s lately.e I really struggle a lot in these coastal’s lately.

Maybe 1.5 here. Not too impressive yet. It hasn’t really settled in like a good storm usually does at some point where the rates don’t vary that much visibility get to a quarter mile and It just starts piling up. We are not there yet and I hope we can get there. Wind is really starting to crank though

Thank you. Sometimes it’s torture watching to see where the bands set up and stick around

Fingers crossed that we get a nice band to consolidate up here. All the bright banded snow is in sne now.