mahk_webstah

WPC day 4 map looks perfect, with the low forming right in the Delaware Bay and 24 hours later NNE of NS. That is a good track for interior SNE, CNE, NNE. And from the discussion: Regarding the early period East Coast low, the 06z/12zGFS continues to be faster/more offshore with the track while thebulk of the rest of the guidance suggests something closer to thecoast and a more impactful winter storm from the lower Ohio Valleyinto the Northeast. And in the threats/hazards everywhere form just nw of Philly into all of NE is under threat for heavy snow. I'm thinking a general 6-12 is coming.

Wow, we get a great +NAO pattern, but then are we headed back to -NAO? There may be enough in that image to slow some storms down, but a KU crawler under a block could be cool. Looks like this won't be Delaware's last storm of the season.

Time sensitive, but these traffic cams form central and southern DE are great. Windy and heavy snow. They don't often JP; I know cuz I grew up there. The Rehoboth Beach cam is great right now as are some around Milford. https://deldot.gov/map/index.shtml?tab=TrafficCameras#

The Ginx Epicosity Storm of 2022? Details, please.

that still looks great to me. if there's a cluster it is inside the BM

a big hug for you!!!! thanks.

maybe 1 more move SE, but lets see what ENS say, then 3 moves NW, then the Messenger shuffle at the end. Worcester wins. Tblizz cries over not jackpotting, BZ issues some snark, and DIT acts like he forecasted exactly that outcome.

I feels ur pain.

Somewhere between the pope and revkev works for me.

well a cutter can have a 750 mile swing and still be a cutter, so we don't notice the shifts. But a coastal has like 200 miles to work with and we fight and cry and celebrate over a 10 mile shift, so...

4 in a row with thick fog on each one. The snowpack mostly survives

There’s as much clustering on the bench mark as there are hairs on the top your head

Wow that has the coldest air in the hemisphere over the Carolinas.Wow that has the coldest air in the hemisphere over the Carolinas.

Without any blocking or something to shunt it out to see one would think so. But panics driven by shifts of models five days out are fairly common even with someone as old as me.

Could the unexpected intensity and location of today’s storm have an affect on the ultimate path of the next one?

the isobars suggest that should come nne

probably more elbow or canal given the lack of blocking to the north

I'm happy to see the slight trend s and e because this may come west some as it gets closer, sort of like today

Looks like it gives multiple opportunities in multiple ways for us to get snow as the ridges and Troughs move around, but does not look suppressive at all thanks for the rigging in the Atlantic I think? Miller A and B and swfe clippers too

Severe blizzards

Dryslut downslopingdeforms dendrite? DDDD

I love how that has the look of one that comes fully up into and through the gulf of Maine

Hopefully that one prevents suppression depression. Seems like plenty of room for storms to come north. Would there be potential for phasers if pieces of that vortex break off?

I think the 7th is borderline even for here. If that low develops SW won't it flood the mid levels with warm air given a lack of a high to hold in cold air?

I noticed that the overnight WPC position was inland over SE NE, and this afternoon's update has it at the elbow. But the snow probs are more interior NE