mahk_webstah

Is there an award for best gifs? You are way ahead.

GYX has gone conservative, backing off a bit on totals. I thought there'd be a watch, but now they are going with 3-7 up this way. They're talking about dryslots and mixing ruining the dynamics at just around the time the Euro says we be getting heavy snow. But it's not Legro so I don't trust it.

First watch hours of the season should be up shortly

The older I get the more I just try to look at what’s right in front of me. Our first solid snowstorm of the year, followed by seasonably cold weather and possibilities over the next 10 days. That’s good enough

You prop them up just so you can knock them down again

I’ll take my chances with that short wave shotgun out west as long as we have our blocking n and e. Some sleet to harden up the pack. I like patterns that others to my south think are only OK

In that setup does the western trough just keep spitting out energy while the epo feeds cold and the Atlantic doesn’t allow cutting without redevelopment? Basically a bunch of 3-6, 4-8?

does that thing just off the se coast get pulled into the trough coming down into the lakes?

don't disappoint PF

i do now in this moment

maybe we could hold off on that for awhile? Or make it a really slooooow process, once they have a big pack. I'm happy to be in the middle. Could be a good few weeks here. I wouldn't think suppression would be a long-standing problem for us given a hopefully active northern stream. I agree with Jeff that a couple dozen 3-6ers would be just fine.

and that trough in the west is backing to the sw which helps us with cold air yes?

I dunno, I thought your's and Ray's conversation was gonna involve a different planet.

Xmas in Center Hahbuh?

Yeah he seems thoughtful and smart, and really keyed into the same high latitudes we obsess about. I started reading him last month in prep for a biz trip to London for last week that got "omicroned". But I'll be back there in late January. Often what is good for them is good for us, not always though.

I think Matt Hugo over in the UK has been paying a lot of attention to that shift in the GEFS, if you follow him on twitter.

no need to be greedy, there's plenty for the needy and that's what he said

those maps are a thing of beauty up here. enough ridging out west for amplitude, cold source nearby by not on top of us, ridging in the SE and Atlantic to feed moisture and push the track north enough, looks about as good as it gets for up here? If that Atlantic ridging builds up to the Davis Straight every once in a while, the the MA might have some fun. But this looks like a NNE CNE pattern am I right?

Got here to Boscawen. The snow started somewhere around exit 9 or 10 and then has actually gotten pretty heavy up here. Actually fair to say moderate but accumulating efficiently with good snow growth. I thought it was over so I’m a little surprised

I'm at LaGuardia in NYC about to fly home. Home told me the roads are quite slick

Looks like room for scooter highs in QC and Swfe

Yup. It is now Sunday afternoon data and we are only barely inside 72. It's been a fun read today here in the sanitarium thread.

It is Sunday morning at 12z

My use of “a lot” was definitely an unintended overstatement. What I think is that the models will come a lot closer at 12Z and 18Z today and then overnight and tomorrow we’ll start to see a slow trend toward something that’s more north and west and may be a little more impressive. I’ve been watching my weather underground accumulation protection from Wednesday be somewhere around 8 inches a couple days ago and slowly drop to about 2 1/2 inches as of this morning. I expect that to go back up in the end maybe around 5 inches inches

Did he listen to Scott and Will? That’s basically my default every time. LOL. If I was in Vegas I think I would go with those odds every time.