Jump to content

mahk_webstah

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,084

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. mahk_webstah
    sure it does. 6-8 hour thump and then the warming aloft coincides with the dry slot. Think SWFE coming from the south into a very cold antecedent airmass.
  2. mahk_webstah
    take the average of the 6z eps and 12zgefs and lean it west towards the UK and GGEM and that is our new status quo. The Euro then gets to decide the 12Z average outcome, and then onto 18Z. Still a ways to go and to trends.
  3. mahk_webstah
    we just need a little redevelopment to keep us cold and snowing I think, at least beyond the qpf bomb thump.
  4. mahk_webstah
    This map shows what I am trying to communicate. The big deform far west, but then the band over south central NH which would be the 6 hour qpf bomb followed by some pivoting while the area towards Ray dryslots.
  5. mahk_webstah
    Thank you sir, may I have another?
  6. mahk_webstah
    I am used to big defom bands in VT and NYS. That seems inevitable with this one. But still, if it trends east a bit more and head over the Cape, I would think the big nw to se very heavy band that Chris describes will start to pivot/rotate while areas s and e will dry slot. Is that scenario reasonably possible?
  7. mahk_webstah
    2 areas of big wins will be the deform and the pivot. we just don't know who gets them. I volunteer and behalf of myself, Brian, Gene and Jeff.
  8. mahk_webstah
  9. mahk_webstah
    Depending upon the ultimate track, somebody will get the thumpity dumpity, but then also a pivot while those to the s and e get slotted. And then there will be deformation way way n and w. the 12+ will in the pivot I would think, yes?
  10. mahk_webstah
    What I really mean is that to assess the current status quo we compromise gefs and eps with a lean towards other model output. Every 6 or 12 we shift the status quo using these guidelines.
  11. mahk_webstah
    Occlusion
  12. mahk_webstah
    Probably a compromise eps gefs is the best status quo. With a lean towards the other guidance
  13. mahk_webstah
    How much for you Friday?
  14. mahk_webstah
    probably why the WPC snow progs for 4+ look good all the way from VA up to EMA
  15. mahk_webstah
    snow probs look great on WPC and qpf is up ove 1"
  16. mahk_webstah
    thump slot crust
  17. mahk_webstah
    Thump n slot
  18. mahk_webstah
    Gonna b rough down in jersey. You should discuss it with them so as to provide comfort
  19. mahk_webstah
    thanks to Will and others for discussing that in the last few minutes. Made me feel better.
  20. mahk_webstah
    put a bunch of maalox in his coffee and we might be all set
  21. mahk_webstah
    you been there eh?
  22. mahk_webstah
    this is a key that DT talks about alot. Seems that we should watch the better shorter term guidance to see how it trends with the tilt of trough.
  23. mahk_webstah
    with the exception of the red beard, I hate that pic.
  24. mahk_webstah
    especially north of 43 baby!
  25. mahk_webstah
    do you really want to "catch a break" 5 days out? I find that scary. Possibly the west trend is maxed and it'll settle and in and drift east.
×
×
  • Create New...